Why did the Origin share price rocket 41% in November?

This energy share was on fire in November…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) share price was among the best performers on the Australian share market in November.

Over the period, the energy company's shares rose an impressive 41.1%.

This compares favourably to the ASX 200 index, which rose 6.1% over the period.

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.

Image source: Getty Images

Why did the Origin share price smash the market?

Investors were buying Origin's shares last month after the company received a takeover approach.

Origin received an indicative, conditional, and non-binding proposal from Brookfield Asset Management and MidOcean Energy to acquire the company for $9.00 cash per share. This valued the company at $18.4 billion on an enterprise value basis.

Based on the Origin share price at the time, this represented a sizeable 54.9% premium for investors.

Origin revealed that this was the third bid the company had received from Brookfield Asset Management and MidOcean Energy. It had been in talks since August and had rejected previous offers of $7.95 cash per share in August and $8.70 to $8.90 per share in September.

It seems that $9.00 per share was on the money, with the Origin board revealing that it would be prepared to accept the offer and recommend it to shareholders if it becomes binding.

As a result, the company granted Brookfield Asset Management and MidOcean Energy due diligence access.

What's next?

With the Origin share price trading at $7.95, this represents an 11.7% discount to the offer price.

This appears to indicate that the market is somewhat sceptical that the deal will complete.

This may be due to the various hurdles the deal will have to overcome for completion. These include regulatory approvals such as Foreign Investment Board Review (FIRB) approval.

Credit Suisse commented on this, saying:

Foreign Investment Review Board hurdles loom large for proposed acquisitions of this nature, and the Government could use its approvals leverage to extract concessions on domestic gas prices.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

Man ecstatic after reading good news.
Energy Shares

This ASX 200 stock is charging higher on big news

Let's see what has been announced this morning.

Read more »

Oil worker using a smartphone in front of an oil rig.
Energy Shares

This ASX energy stock could rise 50%, says Bell Potter

Bell Potter has named this energy producer as a buy. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

How many Santos shares do I need to buy for $10,000 a year in passive income?

Santos shares have delivered two yearly dividend payouts since 2019.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Energy Shares

5 ASX 200 energy shares smash multi-year highs after oil price spike

The ASX 200 Energy Index reached a two-year high of 11,071.80 points on Thursday.

Read more »

Woman refuelling the gas tank at fuel pump.
Energy Shares

Brent crude hits US$112. Here's why Australia is more exposed than most

Oil surges past US$112 as fuel risks rise in Australia.

Read more »

A man faces a fork in the path in the bush before being plunged into the night's darkness holding only a gas lantern.
Energy Shares

Natural gas jumps 6% overnight. Which ASX gas giants stand to benefit?

Natural gas climbs 6% as global supply concerns grow.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Energy Shares

Why Boss Energy shares are falling despite positive uranium update

Let's see what is weighing on this uranium miner today.

Read more »

Gas and oil worker working on pipeline equipment.
Energy Shares

Woodside locks in new CEO as energy giant enters next phase

Woodside confirms Liz Westcott as the new Chief Executive Officer.

Read more »