Cyber Monday: Could these ASX 200 shares be on sale?

Is it time to go shopping for some ASX 200 bargains?

| More on:
A smiling woman with a satisfied look on her face lies on a rug in her home with her laptop open and a large cup on the floor nearby, gazing at the screen. researching new ETFs

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Many ASX 200 shares that grew during COVID have been sold off significantly in 2022
  • ARB could be one opportunity, with the company growing its international revenue and profit at a rapid pace
  • Reece is another which has diversified its business and has big things planned for the large US market over the long term

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is full of a broad range of businesses. And some of these ASX 200 shares may be opportunities during the discount season for shopping.

Many businesses that were COVID-19 winners have turned into post-COVID losers. But I think some of the declines may have been overdone. Yes, there are likely to be earnings declines compared to strong COVID earnings. But the share prices are already down heavily.

In my view, long-term global growth could make them opportunities. Let's check a couple out:

ARB Corporation Limited (ASX: ARB)

ARB provides four-wheel drive accessories. It boasts that its accessories were built for the harsh conditions of the Australian outback, meaning that its products are designed to be tough and withstand the extremes four-wheel drive enthusiasts may put them through.

But investors are not so enthusiastic about the ASX 200 share at the moment. Since the start of the year, the ARB Corporation share price has dropped almost 50%.

FY22 was a solid year, with 8.1% growth of net profit after tax (NPAT) to $122 million and the total dividend rising by 4.4%.

The company's non-Australian revenue has been growing, including as a percentage of total sales. FY22 export sales grew by 17.4%.

ARB also continues to grow its store network. New car models have been released to the market. A Texas distribution centre will be opened in Dallas in January 2023 which will give ARB USA two-day shipping to the majority of the USA, while also supporting growth in Mexico and Central America.

The business said that sales in Southeast Asia, Europe, Africa and the Middle East are all "trending positively". The collaboration with Ford has also been "well received" by customers.

However, the company is facing lower short-term sales and higher costs because of inflation. But, the order book remains healthy and it's expecting stronger sales in the FY23 second half and into FY24.

Commsec numbers imply the ARB share price is valued at 22 times FY23's estimated earnings.

Reece Ltd (ASX: REH)

Bathroom supplier Reece is another ASX 200 share that has suffered heavily this year. The Reece share price is down around 45% year to date. It hasn't seen a large recovery like some other ASX shares have in the last few weeks.

But, Reece isn't just an Australian bathroom and plumbing product business anymore. It also has a network of 204 branches in the middle and south of the US. As well, it's involved in irrigation and pools, commercial heating, ventilation, air conditioning and refrigeration, and civil construction (including water mains, sewerage, drainage, fire services, gas mains, and telecommunications).

I think that the business is more defensive than some investors are giving it credit for (given how heavily the share price is down).

With the US business, it has a long-term strategy. It's refurbishing stores, opening new stores, and planning to make acquisitions.

FY23 started strongly, with the first quarter showing 28.8% revenue growth to $2.28 billion. Australia-New Zealand sales were up 13.9%, while US sales grew 33.1% on a constant currency basis. While this may not be reflective over the rest of the year, it has given FY23 a strong start. The company continues to focus on controlling costs and investing for the future, though demand is expected to soften in the second half.

It's valued at 24 times FY23's estimated earnings, according to Commsec.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ARB Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A woman makes the task of vacuuming fun, leaping while she pretends it is an air guitar.
Opinions

Why I think this ASX small-cap stock is a bargain at 30 cents

I’m excited about this stock with global potential.

Read more »

A smiling man at a shop counter takes payment from a female customer, with racks of plants in the background.
Best Shares

Here's why I think Wesfarmers shares are a great buy for any ASX investor

I argue that Wesfarmers offers investors both growth and income potential.

Read more »

guy helping girl invest in shares and dividends
Opinions

5 ways for investors buying ASX shares to stay focused during economic uncertainty

AMP Chief Economist, Dr Shane Oliver, offers advice on how to handle the Trump factor.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Opinions

1 ASX growth stock down 30% I'd buy right now

This international business is growing core earnings at a strong rate.

Read more »

A young man wearing glasses writes down his stock picks in his living room.
Opinions

1 ASX stock I'm buying now that the US election is over

This ASX stock is appealing to me for a few different factors.

Read more »

Woman smiling with her hands behind her back on her couch, symbolising passive income.
Opinions

This ASX stock 10x my money. Here's why I haven't sold a single share

It looks stupidly expensive... so why have I held on this entire time?

Read more »

Three women cruise along enjoying ice-creams in the sunshine.
Opinions

My 3 favourite Australian stocks to buy right now

I’m bullish about these ASX shares for the long-term.

Read more »

A view from the track behind a runner in the starting block.
Opinions

3 beginner-friendly ASX shares perfect for Aussie investors starting out in November

Here’s why I like the look of these ASX shares for beginners.

Read more »