5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Here's what to expect on the ASX 200 on Monday…

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.25% to 7,259.5 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to start the week in the red following a mixed session on Wall Street on Friday night. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 9 points or 0.1% lower this morning. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones was up 0.45%, the S&P 500 fell slightly, and the NASDAQ dropped 0.5%.

Oil prices drop

ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a tough start to the week after oil prices tumbled on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 2.1% to US$76.28 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price fell 2% to US$83.63 a barrel. Traders were selling oil due to concerns that soaring COVID cases in China could lessen demand.

Costa shares downgraded

The Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC) share price is fully valued according to analysts at Bell Potter. According to the note, the broker has downgraded the horticulture company's shares to a hold rating with an improved price target of $2.90. It commented: "We downgrade our rating from Buy to Hold following the recent recovery in the share price."

Gold price flat

Gold miners such as Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a subdued start to the week after the gold price traded flat on Friday. According to CNBC, the spot gold price was steady at US$1,754.93 an ounce during the session. A stronger US dollar put pressure on the precious metal.

Fletcher Building given buy rating

The Fletcher Building Limited (ASX: FBU) share price could be great value according to Goldman Sachs. This morning the broker initiated coverage on the building products company with a buy rating and $5.90 price target. While Goldman believes that key markets are at or near cyclical peaks, it believes "the share price captures the cyclical headwind (and more)."

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