Down 30% so far in 2022, leading fund manager Firetrail sees a bright future for this under-the-radar ASX small-cap share

This small cap ASX stock is expected to benefit from rising interest rates

| More on:
A sunset scene though the fingers of two hands, indicating the bigger picture

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Writing in its October monthly update, the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund names the NobleOak Life Ltd (ASX: NOL) share price as one of the negative contributors for the month.

Although the fund has struggled over the past 12 months, since inception in February 2020, it has returned 11.5% per annum, soundly outperforming its benchmark.

October saw the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund gain 4.7% after fees, underperforming the Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index by 1.7%. 

Positive contributors included the Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) share price soaring 40% in October after the family communications application announced increased prices for new and existing US subscribers. The fund notes Life360 has 27 million monthly active users in the US, approximately 8% of the total US population.

Turning to detractors, the NobleOak Life share price fell 12% in October on very thin trading volumes. Since the end of the month, this ASX small-cap share has continued to struggle, now trading at close to a 52-week low. 

The fund notes the life insurance sector has performed poorly in 2022 despite its defensive earnings and industry tailwinds from policy repricing and rising interest rates. 

Not deterred, Firetrail estimates NobleOak will see an approximate 7-10% profit tailwind from rising interest rates in FY23. 

Whatever the reason – the war in Ukraine, the pandemic or recession fears – the fund is encouraged by consumer willingness to buy life insurance increasing by "an amazing" 35% in the past two years. 

When reporting FY22 results in late August, NobleOak said it delivered another year of strong growth in in-force premiums and underlying profits, exceeding its key prospectus forecasts. 

For FY23, the ASX small-cap share says "in-force premiums are expected to grow ahead of market with a disciplined approach to drive continued profit growth".

NobleOak was a July 2021 IPO, with shares issued at $1.95 per share. Its share price hit a high of $2.45 in March 2022 before retreating back to $1.57 today.  

Motley Fool contributor Bruce Jackson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man in business pants, a shirt and a tie lies in the shallows of a beautiful beach as he consults his laptop on the shore, just out of the water's reach.
Opinions

1 ASX stock I bought for my superannuation fund and another I'm planning to buy

I believe in these ASX shares for the long-term.

Read more »

A smiling man take a big bite out of a burrito
Opinions

3 reasons the Guzman y Gomez (GYG) share price could still be a buy

Here’s why I think spicy growth could continue.

Read more »

A beautiful ocean vista is shown with a woman whose back is to the camera holding her arms up in triumph as she stands at the top of a rock feeling thrilled that ASX 200 shares are reaching multi-year high prices today
Record Highs

17 ASX 200 shares that smashed new record highs on Tuesday

Do you own any of these lucky stocks?

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a huge Tuesday for ASX shares, with the index resetting its record high.

Read more »

A piggy bank on the cloud in the blue sky symbolising a record high share price.
Share Market News

Here's why Morgan Stanley says the record-high ASX 200 has more room to run

The top broker also thinks investors should prepare for a rotation out of ASX bank stocks in 2025.

Read more »

A business person holds a big balloon in front of their face.
How to invest

I'm fine with a stock market crash. You might be too

This article might leave you longing for a ride to the downside.

Read more »

Stock market chart in green with a rising arrow symbolising a rising share price.
Record Highs

Big news: ASX 200 hits new 8,400-point record

The ASX 200 has shot the moon this Tuesday.

Read more »

two children squat down in the dirt with gardening tools and a watering can wearing denim overalls and smiling very sweetly.
Growth Shares

How to maximise $10,000 by investing in 2 ASX growth shares

Here are my best growth ideas on the ASX right now.

Read more »