Down 30% so far in 2022, leading fund manager Firetrail sees a bright future for this under-the-radar ASX small-cap share

This small cap ASX stock is expected to benefit from rising interest rates

| More on:
A sunset scene though the fingers of two hands, indicating the bigger picture

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Writing in its October monthly update, the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund names the NobleOak Life Ltd (ASX: NOL) share price as one of the negative contributors for the month.

Although the fund has struggled over the past 12 months, since inception in February 2020, it has returned 11.5% per annum, soundly outperforming its benchmark.

October saw the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund gain 4.7% after fees, underperforming the Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index by 1.7%. 

Positive contributors included the Life360 Inc (ASX: 360) share price soaring 40% in October after the family communications application announced increased prices for new and existing US subscribers. The fund notes Life360 has 27 million monthly active users in the US, approximately 8% of the total US population.

Turning to detractors, the NobleOak Life share price fell 12% in October on very thin trading volumes. Since the end of the month, this ASX small-cap share has continued to struggle, now trading at close to a 52-week low. 

The fund notes the life insurance sector has performed poorly in 2022 despite its defensive earnings and industry tailwinds from policy repricing and rising interest rates. 

Not deterred, Firetrail estimates NobleOak will see an approximate 7-10% profit tailwind from rising interest rates in FY23. 

Whatever the reason – the war in Ukraine, the pandemic or recession fears – the fund is encouraged by consumer willingness to buy life insurance increasing by "an amazing" 35% in the past two years. 

When reporting FY22 results in late August, NobleOak said it delivered another year of strong growth in in-force premiums and underlying profits, exceeding its key prospectus forecasts. 

For FY23, the ASX small-cap share says "in-force premiums are expected to grow ahead of market with a disciplined approach to drive continued profit growth".

NobleOak was a July 2021 IPO, with shares issued at $1.95 per share. Its share price hit a high of $2.45 in March 2022 before retreating back to $1.57 today.  

Motley Fool contributor Bruce Jackson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Life360, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Share Gainers

These were the best-performing ASX All Ords shares in May

These shares caught the eye last month. What was getting investors excited?

Read more »

A man and a woman sitting in a technology-related work environment high five each other while the man wears headphones around his neck and the woman sits in front of a laptop.
Share Market News

Strong gains for Wisetech, TechnologyOne, and Catapult amid ASX 200 tech sector lead

ASX technology shares led the market with a 3.85% increase while the ASX 200 lifted 0.88% last week.

Read more »

A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Warren Buffett
Share Market News

Could these Australian fund managers be the next Warren Buffett?

Buffett is widely regarded the world's most successful investor.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 40%+

Big returns could be on offer from these shares according to analysts.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Analysts say these ASX shares are top buys in June

Brokers are urging investors to buy these shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Ten happy friends leaping in the air outdoors.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors finished the trading week on a high note this Friday.

Read more »

A man in trendy clothing sits on a bench in a shopping mall looking at his phone with interest and a surprised look on his face.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »