Medibank share price sell-off 'excessive': expert

Down 20% since the cyberattack, is it time to buy Medibank shares?

| More on:
A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Medibank share price went up with most other ASX shares on Friday but remains 20% down since the cyberattack
  • One fund manager says the sell-off has been overdone 
  • Brokerage platform Stake says customers have been buying up big on Medibank shares 

Medibank Private Ltd (ASX: MPL) shares were lifted by broader market momentum on Friday after the United States reported a softer-than-expected inflation number for October.

The Medibank share price finished the session on Friday up 1.79% to $2.84. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the day up 2.79% to 7,158 points.

But Friday's surge is likely little comfort to Medibank shareholders. They've seen their investments smashed by almost 20% following news of the cyberattack.

The saga got worse during the week with the cyber thieves publishing a sample of the data on the dark web.

The data includes names, birth dates, contact information, Medicare numbers, and in some cases, individual customer healthcare information.

One fundie says the market has overreacted. Let's hear what he has to say.

Is Medibank a buy?

Martin Conlon, head of Australian equities at Schroders, says cybercrime is "likely to be an ongoing risk for all organisations".

Conlon says:

We believe the scale of the share price reaction in the case of Medibank Private is likely to be excessive.

More broadly, we question whether many companies are accurately assessing the payoff for many technology investments. The cost savings, customer insights and supposed business efficiencies are nearly always highlighted by management in justifying spend.

The increasing reliance of many companies on external providers, vulnerability to price gouging and increasing business complexity receive less attention.

As my colleague Tony reported this week, QV Equities pounced on Medibank shares during the sell-off.

The company is "using the volatility" of today's market to buy undervalued shares with "strong competitive advantage and recurring earnings".

In a note to clients, QV Equities said:

We used the recent volatility to increase our holdings in high-quality companies at attractive prices including Lottery Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLC) and APA Group (ASX: APA).

We also took the opportunity to increase our holding in Medibank Private after its share price fell heavily after a well-publicised cyber-attack on its client database.

ASX investors take advantage of Medicare share price fall

Analyst Eliot Hastie from Australian brokerage platform Stake says their clients have been buying up big on Medibank shares.

As my colleague Bernd reports, Hastie said:

Stake customers have seen this as a buying opportunity, with a 1,426% increase in buys last month, suggesting that many are still positive about Medibank's long-term outlook.

In fact, Medibank saw the biggest change from sales to buys of all Australian stocks in October when compared to September.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended APA Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Healthcare Shares

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Healthcare Shares

Guess which ASX healthcare stock is jumping 7% on US FDA approval news

This share is giving its shareholders an early Christmas present.

Read more »

A senior pharmacist talks to a customer at the counter in a shop
Healthcare Shares

Is it too late to buy Sigma shares to cash in on the Chemist Warehouse deal?

Can investors still make healthy returns with this stock?

Read more »

Shot of a scientist using a computer while conducting research in a laboratory.
Healthcare Shares

Why the Mesoblast share price is diving 18% after an FDA win

Investors are sending the Mesoblast share price tumbling on Friday. But why?

Read more »

A happy doctor in a white coat dancing due to his excitement over the EBOS acquisition
Healthcare Shares

Mesoblast share price rockets 30% on big US FDA news

Big news is giving this biotech a huge lift on Thursday.

Read more »

Two scientists in a Rhythm Biosciences lab cheer while looking at results on a computer.
Healthcare Shares

Guess which ASX healthcare stock is jumping 12% on Wednesday

This shares is rocketing this morning. But why? Let's find out.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Healthcare Shares

Here is the dividend forecast to 2029 for CSL shares

Can this blue-chip giant provide healthy dividend income?

Read more »

a doctor in a white coat makes a heart shape with his hands and holds it over his chest where his heart is placed.
Healthcare Shares

The best ASX 200 healthcare stocks to buy in 2025

These shares could give your portfolio a healthy boost next year according to Bell Potter.

Read more »

In the lab at work, the mature adult woman and young adult man smile as they review the results of their successful experimentation.
Healthcare Shares

ASX 300 healthcare stock lifts off on promising new results

Up 28% in a year, the ASX healthcare stock is leaping higher on Thursday.

Read more »