Xero share price sinks 7% on half-year earnings miss and CEO exit

Xero shares are on the slide on Thursday …

| More on:
A man sitting at a computer is blown away by what he's seeing on the screen, hair and tie whooshing back as he screams argh in panic.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Xero has released its half year results
  • Although the company beat on the top line, its earnings fell short of estimates
  • Xero also announced the surprise exit of its CEO, Steve Vamos

The Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) share price is falling on Thursday following the release of the company's half year results.

At the time of writing, the cloud accounting platform provider's shares are down 7% to $67.60.

Xero share price lower on earnings miss and CEO exit

  • Operating revenue up 30% (27% in constant currency) to NZ$658.5 million
  • Annualised monthly recurring revenue (AMRR) jumped 31% (23% in CC) to NZ$1.49 billion
  • EBITDA up 11% to NZ$108.6 million
  • Total subscribers increased 16% to 3.5 million
  • CEO Steve Vamos leaving after almost 5 years in the job

What happened during the half?

For the six months ended 30 September, Xero reported a 30% increase in operating revenue to NZ$658.5 million and a 31% jump in AMRR to NZ$1.49 billion. This was driven by a 16% increase in subscribers to 3,496,000 and a 13% lift in average revenue per user (ARPU) to NZ$35.30.

Here's a summary of its performance across different markets:

  • Australian revenue up 31% (25% in CC) to NZ$294 million after increasing subscribers by 126,000 to 1.47 million.
  • New Zealand revenue up 16% to NZ$84 million following a 24,000 increase in subscribers to 536,000.
  • UK revenue up 32% (34% in CC) to NZ$175 million. Xero added 44,000 net subscribers, bringing its total to 894,000. New additions were impacted by a slower than expected uptake of MTD for VAT and partner sales approach changes.
  • North America revenue up 44% (30% in CC) to NZ$44 million. Xero added 15,000 net subscribers in the market, bringing its total to 354,000. Subscriber growth was impacted by seasonality factors.
  • Rest of the World revenue up 35% (25% in CC) to NZ$62 million. Subscribers grew 16,000 to 242,000 in the market.

Softer earnings

One disappointment was that Xero's top line growth didn't flow all the way down to the bottom line.

The company reported an 11% increase in earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) to NZ$108.6 million. This was due largely to the impact of a NZ$25.9 million non-cash impairment driven by changed operational and market conditions for the Waddle business, which was partially offset by non-cash revaluation gains of NZ$10.8 million.

Excluding these adjustments, EBITDA would have been NZ$123.7 million, up 28% against the comparative period. This reflects a slight increase in operating expenses as a percentage of operating revenue from 83.4% to 83.9%.

How does this compare to expectations?

This result was somewhat mixed in comparison to what analysts were expecting.

For example, Goldman Sachs was expecting "Revenue/GP/EBITDA +28/+30/+42% vs. PcP to NZ$648/571/143mn."

While Xero's revenue was higher than Goldman's estimate, its EBITDA has fallen well short both before and after adjustments. It was also the same for consensus estimates, which stood at NZ$656 million revenue and NZ$143 million EBITDA.

That may explain some of the weakness in the Xero share price today.

CEO exit

Also potentially weighing on the Xero share price is news that its CEO, Steve Vamos, is leaving after almost five years in the top job.

Vamos is retiring from the role and plans to return to his previous portfolio in business coaching and leadership development as an advisor, director, and investor.

The good news is that the company has acted fast and appointed a replacement, Sukhinder Singh Cassidy.

The release explains that Singh Cassidy is an experienced Silicon Valley executive, with more than 25 years' global leadership experience. This includes as President, Asia Pacific & Latin America at Google; President at StubHub; founder of theBoardlist; founder of Joyus, where she was CEO; and co-founder of Yodlee.

Singh Cassidy will join the company at the end of month and formally become CEO on 1 February 2023.

Outlook

Looking ahead, it is business as usual for Xero. Its outlook statement is little changed from the end of FY 2022. It stated:

Xero will continue to focus on growing its global small business platform and maintain a preference for reinvesting cash generated, subject to investment criteria and market conditions, to drive long-term shareholder value. Total operating expenses (including acquisition integration costs) as a percentage of operating revenue for FY23 are expected to be towards the lower end of a range of 80-85%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Technology Shares

Why is this ASX fintech stock suddenly crashing 22%?

This stock is having a very bad start to the week. What's going on?

Read more »

Three businesspeople leap high with the CBD in the background.
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords stock is leaping 12% today

Why is this stock having a strong start to the week? Let's find out.

Read more »

A young man working from home sits at his home office desk holding a cup of tea and looking out the window
Technology Shares

Pro Medicus shares higher on $30m contract win

Good news is lifting this high-flying stock on Monday. Let's dig deeper into it.

Read more »

Robot humanoid using artificial intelligence on a laptop.
Technology Shares

The best ASX AI stock to invest $500 in right now

The team at Morgans thinks this is one of the best ways to invest in AI on the ASX.

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Technology Shares

This ASX All Ords stock just crashed 25%! Here's why

Let's find out what is making investors rush to the exits on Thursday.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Technology Shares

What's going on with Xero shares today?

The tech stock has made an announcement this morning relating to its CEO.

Read more »

Three analysts look at tech options on a wall screen
Technology Shares

Why did this small-cap ASX tech stock just explode 39%?

Investors are piling into the ASX tech stock on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A woman wearing yellow smiles and drinks coffee while on laptop.
Technology Shares

Investors should put these 2 top ASX tech shares on the watchlist

These tech companies have enormous potential, in my view.

Read more »