Up 75% in 2022, is it time to cash in on Sayona Mining shares?

One broker believes that Sayona's shares are a sell over the short term.

| More on:
A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Sayona's share price appreciation over the past year and its fundamentals have been impressive
  • Yet sentiment for the lithium producer has taken a turn for the worst recently, leading to analyst downgrades and attracting short-sellers
  • It could be that investors are taking profits in their positions, while lithium production in China is expected to enter a quiet period over winter

The Sayona Mining Ltd (ASX: SYA) share price is falling today.

Shares of the lithium producer are currently trading for 24.3 cents each, a drop of 1.22% on Wednesday's closing price.

The materials sector is also struggling today and is currently one of the worst-performing sectors in afternoon trade on Thursday. The S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) is down 0.98%, while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is falling 0.31%.

However, despite today's fall, Sayona shares are up 75% this year to date. So is it time to cash in? Let's cover the highlights of where the Sayona Mining share price could be heading.

What's going on with Sayona?

Sayona Mining's rating was downgraded by bank Clarksons Platou this afternoon. The company changed its position on the share recently by rating it as a 'new sell'.

At face value, it might be hard to imagine why some experts believe its shares could be in for a downturn. The company has posted consistently positive developments in its fundamentals in the recent past, and its outlook for FY23 remains positive.

One thesis that my Fool colleague James posted in October is that investors could be taking this opportunity to take profits in their investments.

Then there's the outlook for lithium prices in China. S&P Global predicts that lithium carbonate and hydroxide prices will continue their bull run to the end of the year, with some estimates stating prices will exceed Yuan 600,000/mt by January 2023. 

However, the company also notes that production is expected to slow down during the quiet winter period, which could be a factor that's being priced into some lithium shares.

This might explain why some shares like Sayona have been shorted by bears. The company recently made the list of the top ten most-shorted ASX shares with a short interest ratio of 8.9% at the time of writing.

Sayona Mining share price snapshot

The Sayona Mining share price is up 75% year to date and 60% over the past year. That's beating the ASX 200 by a huge margin — it's down 8% and 6% over the same timeframes.

The company's market capitalisation is around $2.03 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Matthew Farley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Materials Shares

Are Pilbara Minerals shares a buy, sell, or hold for 2025?

Let's see if analysts think this lithium giant should be in your portfolio now.

Read more »

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Materials Shares

4 popular ASX lithium shares going gangbusters on Tuesday

Pilbara Minerals and three other lithium stocks are having a particularly strong session.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

South32 shares sink amid $33 million copper investment

Copper continues to be in hot demand.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Should you buy BHP shares amid 2024's weakness?

Is now the time to pounce on the mining giant's shares? Here's what analysts are saying.

Read more »

Lion holding and screaming into a yellow loudspeaker on a blue background, symbolising an announcement from Liontown.
Materials Shares

Here's why the Liontown share price could rise almost 70%!

Bell Potter thinks this lithium miner could be a high risk/high reward option for investors.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Why is the Novonix share price rocketing 16% on Monday?

Big news is giving this stock a huge lift on Monday morning.

Read more »

A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.
Materials Shares

Liontown shares fall on major guidance and cost update

Big changes are being made at this lithium miner due to weak prices.

Read more »

Miner standing in front of trucks and smiling, symbolising a rising share price.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium share price storming higher on 'excellent' exploration results

ASX investors are sending Core Lithium shares flying higher today.

Read more »