What recession? 2 retail ASX shares ready to bust out: expert

There are some non-staple merchants who will fare better than others as Australians feel the impact of bigger mortgage repayments.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Investors are understandably wary of ASX shares involved in the retail sector, for good reasons.

The negative effect of seven consecutive interest rate rises will soon start to bite Australian households, as there is often a lag after rate rises before consumers start closing their wallets.

And if Australians have less disposable income, they're not going to get out to the shops and go nuts on buying non-staple items.

However, there are some exceptions.

Due to the nature of their operating model or the actual product or service they provide, some retail businesses are more resistant to economic downturns.

Here are two such examples of ASX shares experts rated as buys this week:

Riding the recent stock price momentum

For Sequoia Wealth Management senior wealth manager Peter Day, Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) ticks many boxes.

"Company brands include Supercheap Auto, rebel, BCF and Macpac. The latest trading update showed a positive start in the first 16 weeks of fiscal year 2023."

Management was understandably conservative in its outlook in the current environment, but Day is more bullish than that.

"We remain positive about the company's resilience. Share price momentum has been to the upside between early October and November 3."

Indeed the Super Retail share price has soared almost 16% since 3 October. Helping Day's buy case is a tidy 7% dividend yield.

While the stock is a buy for the team at Sequoia, other professionals aren't wholly convinced.

According to CMC Markets, eight out of 16 analysts currently rate Super Retail as a hold. Six recommend it as a strong buy.

Shares going for an attractive discount

Spotee Connect chief Chris Batchelor reckons JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) operates "a successful business" in consumer electronics retail.

The share price has admittedly dipped 11% year to date, but he's convinced that's merely a buying opportunity for long-term investment.

"Revenue has increased at a compound average annual rate of 11.4% for the past 10 years."

Despite the economic worries, the discount in the valuation is making JB Hi-Fi a compelling buy.

"The market is concerned about economic headwinds dampening consumer demand — but we believe a share price at low $40 levels represents good value."

JB Hi-Fi shares closed Tuesday at $43.33.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended JB Hi-Fi Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

Man with diving gear on in a bathtub.
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings is in hot water this week

Wesfarmers is getting some unwanted attention from its Bunnings operations.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Retail Shares

Up 90%, this ASX 200 retail stock's CEO just sold $500,000 worth

What could this mean?

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Retail Shares

Why buying Wesfarmers shares could provide unique lithium exposure

In the last 12 months, the stock has rallied more than 28%.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Why one leading fund manager thinks this fallen ASX All Ords stock is a turnaround buy

This is a bargain stock, according to a leading fundie.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just extended its $580 million buyback

Could this draw investor attention to the stock?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings' monster profits are raising eyebrows

Bunnings is the jewel in Wesfarmers’ crown. Some people are questioning whether it should sparkle as much as it does.

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Retail Shares

Harvey Norman shares see red on ASIC case update

This could put the saga to rest.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Retail Shares

Why this investing expert is cashing in some gains on Wesfarmers shares

The ASX 200 stock is up more than 27% over the past 12 months.

Read more »