Top fund manager has 'never seen' ASX share price moves like we are witnessing

In over 15 years, Chris Stott has never seen ASX share prices move like this.

| More on:
A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is a sea of calm relative to some of the extreme volatility witnessed in the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index (ASX: XSO), particularly among the smallest companies in that index.

Writing in its October 2022 monthly report, the 1851 Emerging Companies Fund says it has seen "some of the largest daily movements in our index for many years".

"In over 15 years of investing in the Australian small-cap sector, we have never seen the fast-changing macroeconomic environment driving share price moves like we are witnessing as opposed to underlying company fundamentals."

Managed by small-cap veteran Chris Stott, since inception in February 2020 the 1851 Emerging Companies Fund has returned 12.8% per annum, soundly outperforming its benchmark.

October saw the fund rise 4.4% after fees compared to its benchmark's rise of 6.5%

Contributors to performance included the XRF Scientific Limited (ASX: XRF) share price jumping 24% higher for the month after the manufacturer of equipment and chemicals largely for the mining sector reported a "strong trading period across all divisions, driven by activity in the mining sector and buoyant demand for capital equipment products".

On the flip side, the Eureka Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: EGH) share price fell 14% in October after the owner and manager of senior independent living communities announced a $28m capital raise at $0.47 to fund the purchase of two new villages. The company also announced they are in due diligence with over $20m worth of further potential acquisitions

In early November, 1851 Capital lodged a notice of initial substantial holder with the ASX, declaring it held 5.06% voting power in Eureka Group. 

The fund's five largest positions are listed as Capitol Health Ltd (ASX: CAJ), PSC Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: PSI), PeopleIn Ltd (ASX: PPE), OFX Group Ltd (ASX: OFX) and Ridley Corporation Ltd (ASX: RIC).

The OFX Group share price continued its upward trajectory into November after the foreign exchange services company reported a strong performance for the first half of FY23, including upgrading its profit guidance for the full year. In what has been a tough year for many payment companies, OFX Group shares have been a standout, gaining 57% over the past 12 months.

1851 Capital expects inflation to peak this coming quarter, saying the impact of the recent east coast rain will likely drive food prices higher once again. Despite the recent hikes in interest rates, the fund says economic activity continues to remain robust with no major slowdown evident.

"We continue researching for companies to position for an inevitable economic recovery over the medium term," concluded the fund.

Motley Fool contributor Bruce Jackson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended OzForex Group Limited, PSC Insurance Group, and Peoplein. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended OzForex Group Limited, PSC Insurance Group, and Peoplein. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Animation of a man measuring a percentage sign, symbolising rising interest rates.
Share Market News

Here's when Westpac says the RBA will cut interest rates in 2025

Will the RBA finally take interest rates lower in 2025? Let's see what is being forecast.

Read more »

Shares vs property concept illustrated by graphs in the background and house models on coins.
Share Market News

Shares vs. property: Biggest investment trends of 2024

As another year of investing draws to a close, we review the most significant trends.

Read more »

A woman stares at the candle on her cake, her birthday has fizzled.
Share Market News

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

This Friday was not a merry one for ASX shares...

Read more »

An older couple dance in their living room as they enjoy their retirement funded by ASX dividends
Share Market News

Why CSL and these excellent ASX retirement shares could be buys in 2025

Analysts think these shares could be quality options for investors as we head into the new year.

Read more »

Businessman using a digital tablet with a graphical chart, symbolising the stock market.
Share Market News

What is the Dow Jones Index and which 30 companies make the grade?

Here is a brief history of the world's oldest share market index.

Read more »

woman using Mastercard
Best Shares

A top-performing US stock that Australian investors really should own

I think that this US stock is a great buy for any ASX investor.

Read more »

Five young people sit in a row having fun and interacting with their mobile phones.
Share Gainers

5 ASX 200 stocks marching higher this week even as the market sinks

These five ASX 200 companies are shrugging off the broader selling to march higher this week.

Read more »

Ten smiling business people wave to the camera after receiving some winning company news.
Share Market News

Here are the 10 most traded ASX shares and US stocks in November

A consumer staples share attracted the strongest buying conviction among investors using the Selfwealth platform last month.

Read more »