'Undemanding' valuation: Morgans tip 17% upside for the Suncorp share price

Suncorp shares could be in the buy zone…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN) share price could be great value at the current level.

That's the view of one of Australia's leading brokers, which has just reiterated its bullish view on the insurance giant.

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements

Image source: Getty Images

What is the broker saying about the Suncorp share price?

According to a note out of Morgans, in response to yesterday's natural hazards update, its analysts have retained their add rating and $13.70 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the latest Suncorp share price of $11.68, this implies potential upside of 17% for investors over the next 12 months.

Morgans is also expecting an attractive fully franked 6.3% dividend yield over the next 12 months, stretching the total potential return beyond 23%.

What did its analysts say?

The broker notes that it has been "an active start to the year for claims" for Suncorp given the recent inclement weather. This has led to first half hazard claims reaching $500 million, which has eaten up most of its first half natural hazard budget of $580 million.

However, it reminds investors that if the bad weather continues, Suncorp has strong reinsurance protections in place that will work to limit hazard losses in the second half. It commented:

We now forecast SUN hazard losses to be A$75m above allowances in 1H23, but assume this drag is offset by claims being below budget by a similar level in 2H23, due to reinsurance protections in place.

In light of this, the broker remains positive and believes the Suncorp share price trades on an undemanding valuation. It concludes:

While weather remains volatile, we think SUN's underlying business trends continue to broadly track in the right direction. SUN will also reap the full benefits of its efficiency program in FY23 and we see SUN's current valuation as undemanding, e.g. FY23 PE multiple of 13x and a 6% dividend yield.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

Close-up of a business man's hand stacking gold coins into piles on a desktop.
Financial Shares

Experts name 2 ASX financials stocks to watch closely

These stocks have drawn buy recommendations.

Read more »

A man with long hair and tattoos holds out an EFTPOS payment machine from behind a shop counter.
Financial Shares

This ASX payments stock jumped after a key RBA decision

RBA card reforms send Tyro shares 4% higher on Tuesday.

Read more »

Hand of a woman carrying a bag of money, representing the concept of saving money or earning dividends.
Financial Shares

This beaten-down ASX financial stock could deliver returns of better than 80%

Canaccord Genuity says there's plenty of upside for this stock.

Read more »

two people sitting at a desk look on in dismay as a colleague holds a chart with diminishing green bars topped with a jagged red line representing a stock market crash.
Financial Shares

Down 55%! Can this ASX financial stock stage a major comeback?

Some brokers see upside well above 180%!

Read more »

A young couple sits at their kitchen table looking at documents with a laptop open in front of them.
Financial Shares

AMP jumps on $150 million buyback and CEO handover. Is this beaten-down ASX stock turning a corner?

Investors are cheering AMP’s buyback plan as Blair Vernon officially takes charge.

Read more »

A woman smiles at the outlook she sees through binoculars.
Financial Shares

How much could the Macquarie share price rise in the next year?

This financial giant could deliver big returns.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Financial Shares

AMP shares charge higher on Monday despite market selloff: What's going on?

What has this financial services company announced? Let's find out.

Read more »

CEO of a company talking.
Financial Shares

Suncorp shares slip as CEO steps aside

Suncorp shares slip after its CEO takes short-term medical leave.

Read more »