Why did the Fortescue share price crash 13% in October?

Fortescue's shares were sold off in October…

| More on:
Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering the face.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) share price was out of form in October.

During the month, the iron ore giant's shares lost almost 13% of their value.

This compares very unfavourably to the ASX 200 index, which charged 6% higher last month.

Why did the Fortescue share price tumble in October?

There were a couple of catalysts for the weakness in the Fortescue share price in October.

The first was a sharp pullback in iron ore prices amid concerns over demand in China and increasing supply.

December futures for the steel-making ingredient were down as low as US$75.20 a tonne on Monday, which is half the price they were commanding a little over seven months ago.

This doesn't bode well for Fortescue, particularly given that it produces a lower grade product which commands a lesser price from end users.

What else?

Fortescue recently released its decarbonisation plans for the Pilbara. After polluting the earth for a couple of decades, Fortescue is now aiming to hit net zero emissions by 2030.

However, doing so will come at a significant cost and is expected to result in the miner's dividend payments dwindling in the coming years.

While the announcement was made in late September, a number of brokers were discussing the impacts in October following a site visit. One of those was the bearish Goldman Sachs.

Once again, the broker revealed that one of the key reasons for its sell rating and $13.80 price target was the company's decarbonisation spend.

It stated that its analysts "continue to rate FMG a Sell on" its valuation, the widening of low grade iron ore price discounts, Iron Bridge execution and ramp up risks, "[u]ncertainties around Fortescue Future Industries (FFI) diversification and Pilbara decarbonisation and impact on dividend and balance sheet.

All in all, Goldman expects Fortescue's share to be offering yields as low as 3% from FY 2024.

In light of this, it is reasonable to presume that some income investors were hitting the sell button last month, putting additional pressure on the Fortescue share price.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Here's why ASX uranium shares are ripping higher today

Uranium shares are smashing the markets today.

Read more »

A female broker in a red jacket whispers in the ear of a man who has a surprised look on his face as she explains which two ASX 200 shares should do well in today's volatile climate
Materials Shares

2 ASX 200 lithium stocks to buy for big returns

Which stocks are analysts tipping as buys right now? Let's find out.

Read more »

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Materials Shares

Is Mineral Resources stock a good buy right now?

This mining share is trading close to multi-year lows. Is this a buying opportunity? Let's find out.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Materials Shares

Mineral Resources shares drop on compliance update

The Australian stock exchange operator has been busy quizzing the miner.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Materials Shares

Are Pilbara Minerals shares a buy, sell, or hold for 2025?

Let's see if analysts think this lithium giant should be in your portfolio now.

Read more »

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Materials Shares

4 popular ASX lithium shares going gangbusters on Tuesday

Pilbara Minerals and three other lithium stocks are having a particularly strong session.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

South32 shares sink amid $33 million copper investment

Copper continues to be in hot demand.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Should you buy BHP shares amid 2024's weakness?

Is now the time to pounce on the mining giant's shares? Here's what analysts are saying.

Read more »