Wheat woes: Why the Graincorp share price is charging 8% to the upside today

Russia's suspension of a major grain export deal has wheat prices soaring.

| More on:
a wheat farmer stands with his arms crossed in a paddock of wheat ready for harvest with his header harvesting equipment operating in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Graincorp share price is rocketing higher on Monday alongside wheat futures
  • The agricultural commodity's value is surging after Russia pulled out of the Black Sea grain deal over the weekend
  • The move could reduce supply of the global staple food

The Graincorp Ltd (ASX: GNC) share price is taking off on Monday amid a spike in wheat prices.

Chicago wheat futures have lifted more than 5% today after Russia exited the Black Sea grain deal over the weekend.

And the Graincorp share price is along for the ride. The ASX agriculture company's bottom line is closely tied to grain prices, meaning an increase in the price of wheat could boost profits.

The stock is up 7.99% right now, trading at $8.38. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has lifted 1.07%.

Let's take a closer look at what might be bolstering the Graincorp share price on Monday.

Russia suspends Black Sea grain deal

The Graincorp share price is gaining as news Russia has backed out of a United Nations-brokered trade deal appears to drive wheat prices higher.

The agreement was designed to allow Ukraine to export grain from the Black Sea without risking attacks on merchant ships, the Guardian reports. Russia could also export food and fertiliser under the deal.

However, Russia ditched the agreement following a drone attack on Sevastopol, its Black Sea naval base. The nation attributed the action to Ukraine.

The Russian defence ministry said, via Russian news outlet Tass, the attack targeted the nation's Black Sea Fleet and other ships involved with the grain corridor. It also said a drone might have been launched from a vessel carrying Ukrainian agricultural production.  

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy called on the UN and G20 to respond to Russia's exit from the deal and the establishment of what he called a "blockade" in the grain corridor, saying:

This is an absolutely transparent intention of Russia to return the threat of large-scale famine to Africa and Asia.

Graincorp share price soars alongside wheat prices

If the Graincorp share price's current gains hold out until close, the stock will post its second-largest single-session gain of the last 12 months.

Today's lift hasn't proven enough to pull the agriculture share back into the longer-term green, however. It has dumped nearly 20% over the last six months.

That's despite the company upgrading its guidance in August.

Graincorp expects to declare between $680 million and $730 million of underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) for the financial year 2022. It will release its full year earnings on 16 November.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Young couple having pizza on lunch break at workplace.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is Warren Buffett buying Domino's shares while they're down?

Could this be a vote of approval?

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What is Bell Potter saying about the Woolworths share price?

Is it recommending Woolies as a buy?

Read more »

A man cheers after winning computer game while woman sitting next to him looks upset.
Earnings Results

2 high-flying ASX 200 gaming shares splitting ways today

Which gaming giant is winning the admiration of investors amid results?

Read more »

Two brokers analysing stocks.
Broker Notes

Don't miss these changes to broker ratings on ASX shares

The verdicts are in.

Read more »

a man stands with his arms folded in front of banks of unused poker machines in a darkened gaming room.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Up 59% in 2024, why this ASX 200 stock is making noise today

Big money for this company's free offering.

Read more »

A company manager presents the ASX company earnings report to shareholders at an AGM.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why today is a big day for Coles shares

And not because of any outsized share price moves.

Read more »

A child pulls a very sad crying face sitting in the child seat of a supermarket trolley in a supermarket aisle lined with grocery items.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why did the Woolworths share price just hit a new 4-year low?

Pressures continue for the supermarket giant.

Read more »

Couple look at a bottle of wine while trying to decide what to buy.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just hit an all-time low following a profit warning

Higher costs and flat sales are weighing on this blue-chip stock.

Read more »