Why are ASX 200 gold shares smashing the benchmark returns today?

As gold pays no yield, the gold price and gold miners have been under pressure as central banks the world over have turned to aggressive rate hikes to tame soaring inflation.

| More on:
a man wearing a gold shirt smiles widely as he is engulfed in a shower of gold confetti falling from the sky. representing a new gold discovery by ASX mining share OzAurum Resources

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ASX 200 gold shares are running hot today
  • Signs that inflation in the US may be slowing means the Federal Reserve may not raise rates as aggressively as markets have priced in
  • A weaker greenback would support gold, which is priced in US dollars, and increase gold’s haven appeal

S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gold shares are shining brightly today.

In afternoon trade, the ASX 200 is up a healthy 0.5%.

But the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) – which also contains some smaller gold stocks outside of the ASX 200 – is doing far better, up 3.6%.

As for some of the leading ASX 200 gold shares:

  • Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) shares are up 4.0%
  • Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) shares are up 3.0%
  • Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) shares are up 5.0%

Why are ASX 200 gold shares outperforming today?

ASX 200 gold shares look to be getting another lift today amid expectations that interest rates in the United States – the world's top economy – may not rise as fast or as high as the market's been pricing in.

As gold pays no yield (interest), the gold price has been under pressure as the US Federal Reserve and other central banks the world over have turned to aggressive rate hikes in 2022 to tame soaring inflation.

That's led to a stronger US dollar as well, depressing gold, which is priced in US dollars. The strong US dollar has also pinched some of gold's haven status, as the greenback is also a classic safety play in times of global uncertainty.

But with signs emerging that inflation may be slowing in the US, gold's haven status is coming back into play.

The yellow metal has edged higher over the past week, currently trading for US$1,668 per ounce. That's up 0.2% overnight and up 2.5% since this time last week.

With ASX 200 gold shares heavily leveraged to the price of bullion, any boost in the gold price or in investor sentiment around the yellow metal will come as welcome news after a difficult six months.

How have the big gold miners tracked over the past week?

The past week's 2.5% increase in bullion prices has offered some healthy tailwinds to ASX 200 gold shares.

Over the past five trading days, the ASX 200 has gained 2.6%.

Over that same time, the Newcrest Mining share price has gained 6.6%, Northern Star shares are up 13.4%, and the Evolution Mining share price has leapt 16.5%.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

A cool man smiles as he is draped in gold cloth and wearing gold glasses.
Gold

2 of the best ASX gold stocks to buy for 2025

Analysts think that now is a golden opportunity to buy these stocks.

Read more »

A colourfully dressed young skydiver wearing heavy gold gloves smiles and gives a thumbs up as he falls through the sky.
Gold

One ASX 200 gold stock to buy now (and one to sell!)

Not all ASX 200 gold stocks are created equal.

Read more »

A woman in a business suit sits at her desk with gold bars in each hand while she kisses one bar with her eyes closed. Her desk has another three gold bars stacked in front of her. symbolising the rising Northern Star share price
Gold

The best ASX gold stocks to buy in 2025

Here's why these could be the gold stocks to buy in the new year according to the broker.

Read more »

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Gold

After a market beating year what can investors expect from the gold price in 2025?

Can the gold price repeat its stellar performance in 2025?

Read more »

miner giving 'ok' sign in front of mine
Gold

Own Newmont shares? You could be in for a lucrative 2025

This expert is expecting big things from Newmont in 2025.

Read more »

Gold nugget with a red arrow going down.
Gold

After plunging 25%, is this ASX gold stock now cheap?

Let's dive in and see.

Read more »

Gold spelt out in gold block letters.
Gold

Will 2025 shine bright for ASX gold shares?

Will it be a golden year?

Read more »

Three people with gold streamers celebrate good news.
Gold

3 reasons to buy Northern Star shares now

This expert forecasts more gains to come from Northern Star shares in 2025.

Read more »