Telstra shares: Buy, hold, or fold?

One broker is tipping 21% upside for the ASX 200 telco giant's stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Telstra share price has dumped around 50% over the last few decades to trade at $3.795 right now
  • Brokers are hopeful the company's current restructure could bring some major benefits
  • Meanwhile, one broker is tipping the stock to lift 21% amid continually decent dividends

It's been a rough few decades for the share price of Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) – which is currently trading under the name Telstra Group Ltd and ticker code TLSDA.

The company is in the middle of a restructuring operation, shaking up its business right down to its ASX listing, as The Motley Fool's Sebastian reports.  

The move comes after the stock dumped around 50% of its value over 23 years. It's fallen from around $9 per share in 1999 to trade at $3.795 today.

That's also 10% lower than it was at the start of 2022. Meanwhile, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has also fallen around 10% year to date.

So, with the stock having tumbled recently and a restructuring operation in progress, is now a good time to buy Telstra shares? Let's see what experts think.

A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.

Image source: Getty Images

Is now a good time to buy Telstra shares?

Many experts are optimistic about the Telstra share price going forward. Though, not all would go so far as to rate it a buy.

Top broker Goldman Sachs, for one, has a neutral rating on the telecommunications giant. But it has slapped Telstra shares with a $4.40 price target, representing a potential 15% upside.

Bell Potter Securities advisor Chris Watt has also tipped the telco as a hold, noting its earnings are resilient. Watt said, courtesy of The Bull:

The future sale of its infrastructure assets is the next key catalyst in determining the strategic direction of the business going forward.

Telstra's restructure will see the business split into four pillars: ServeCo, InfraCo Fixed, Amplitel, and Telstra International.

Back in August, the company's chief financial officer Vicki Brady said the restructure will give the company the option to monetise the InfraCo business. Though, no sale has been decided upon.

JP Morgan believes selling a 49% stake in the asset could reap between $12 billion and $17 billion of after-tax profit, the Australian Financial Review reports.

Under such circumstances, $10.5 billion to $15.5 billion could be returned to shareholders, most likely through buybacks, the broker reportedly said. Such buybacks could, in turn, boost the telco's dividends by 9%.

Speaking of dividends, Morgans is tipping Telstra to pay out 16.5 cents per share this financial year and next, my Fool colleague James reports.

That's in line with the company's financial year 2022 full-year offering. Though, that included three cents per share of special dividends.

Morgans is particularly bullish on Telstra shares, slapping the stock with an add rating and a $4.60 price target. That represents a potential 21% upside.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 30% to 100%

Morgans thinks these shares are dirt-cheap buys.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett tips these ASX All Ords shares to rise 30% to 50%

Let's see what the broker is recommending to clients.

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: DBI, GQG Partners, and Rio Tinto shares

Here's what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »

Business man at desk looking out window with his arms behind his head at a view of the city and stock trends overlay.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Collins Foods, Endeavour, and Magellan shares

What is Morgans saying about these top shares this week?

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Broker Notes

Are Liontown shares a buy after its results?

Let's see if Bell Potter thinks this lithium miner is a buy.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett names 2 ASX 200 shares to accumulate with 10% and 20% upside

Let's see what the broker is saying about these shares.

Read more »