Winner and Sinner: Woodside stock looks dirt cheap, whilst Megaport shares could have even further to fall

One ASX 200 stock that's dirt cheap, and one that still looks expensive.

| More on:
A man cheers after winning computer game while woman sitting next to him looks upset.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Winner

The Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price has gained $1.65 or 5.1% to $34.20 in Thursday morning trade after the oil and gas producer reported record third-quarter production, sales volume and revenue, up 52%, 59% and 70% respectively for the previous quarter.

Strong operational performance across the combined portfolio allowed Woodside to upgrade its full-year production guidance by around 5%.

Woodside shares trade on a trailing fully-franked dividend yield of around 9%, making them one of the highest-yielding ASX 200 stocks. On top of that, the company trades on a forward forecast price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of under 9 times earnings.

Woodside is a beneficiary of the high oil and gas prices, and the lower Aussie dollar. It's hard to imagine a better macroeconomic environment, yet at the same time, it's equally hard to imagine what could derail the Woodside juggernaut.

In August, the company said the upheavals in global and Australian energy markets have shone a spotlight on the importance of gas in the world's energy mix, underscoring the company's confidence in the longer-term demand outlook for gas, which makes up 70% of Woodside's portfolio.

Sinner

The Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1) share price plunged 22% to $6.61 yesterday after the network-as-a-service provider released a lacklustre first-quarter trading update

Once a tech stock darling, Megaport shares have fallen almost 70% from their 52-week high, with the company now valued at just over $1 billion.

The company is a high-profile holding in the Firetrail Australian Small Companies Fund, and in June this year, amid an earnings miss, the fund said it "has added capital to the Megaport position on the back of the share price weakness and our conviction in the medium-term outlook for the company".

In its September update, Firetrail said an analyst report highlighted that Megaport's first mover advantage continues to widen, the fund also saying "pricing across the sector has started to increase which, combined with a falling AUD, should benefit the company in the short term".

I don't get it with Megaport. For the month of September, its reported monthly recurring revenue increased by $913,000 quarter on quarter. That's chicken feed for a company with a market capitalisation of over $1 billion, and one which saw its cash balance fall in the quarter to $69 million.

With highly valued tech stocks, even if they are loss-making, I like to see them growing revenues like gangbusters, allowing them to grow into their valuation. No such joy at Megaport, where revenue for the quarter grew 10% quarter on quarter to just $34 million. At this rate of progress, it's going to take a very long time for Megaport to grow into its still lofty valuation.

Motley Fool contributor Bruce Jackson has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended MEGAPORT FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are ASX lithium shares prime real estate for value hunters?

Can these stocks recharge returns for investors?

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy for its lithium plans?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about the mining giant.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 300 lithium stock is rocketing 20% on huge Volkswagen news

Not all shares are being dragged lower by the market today.

Read more »

Dollar sign in yellow with a red falling arrow in front of a graph, symbolising a falling share price.
Materials Shares

Ouch: The Pilbara Minerals share price just hit a multi-year low

It's been a tough day for lithium investors.

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Materials Shares

Big ASX news: CEO buys 2.5 million Sayona Mining shares

This CEO has finally made a big share purchase.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Own BHP, BlueScope, Rio Tinto, and Woodside shares? Here's why they are teaming up

These companies are teaming up on an important project. What is it?

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Materials Shares

Will 2025 be a better year for the Core Lithium share price?

Will this lithium miner return to form next year? Let's find out.

Read more »

a group of enthusiastic people dash out of open doors as though in a hurry to purchase something. The picture features the legs of some people, faces of others and people in the background trying to get through the crowd.
Materials Shares

3 directors are buying this beaten-up ASX mining stock

This ASX mining stock has fallen by 23% in 2024. But Goldman Sachs is tipping huge upside over the next…

Read more »