Why is the Arafura share price falling in a hole today?

What has got investors seeing red today?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Arafura Resources held its annual general meeting in Perth, Western Australia this morning 
  • Chair Mark Southey said COVID-19 business impacts were worse in 2022 versus 2021 
  • Arafura shares are among the few ASX shares trading in the green for the year to date, up 29% in 2022 so far 

The Arafura Resources Limited (ASX: ARU) share price is tumbling 5.7% amid the explorer holding its annual general meeting today.

Other rare earths miners are also struggling today. Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) is down 4.5% and Iluka Resources Limited (ASX: ILU) is down 1.6%.

Arafura is an ASX mineral explorer and developer of neodymium-praseodymium oxide (NdPr). This mineral is a critical ingredient in the manufacture of electric vehicles (EVs) and wind turbines.

Its flagship prospect is the Nolans Rare Earths Project in the Northern Territory.

Arafura gave an investor presentation at its AGM held in Perth this morning.

Chair Mark Southey also delivered an address. He outlined his key observations for 2022 and the challenges that lie ahead for Arafura in 2023.

At the time of writing, the Arafura share price is 30 cents.

Woman in office sinking in quicksand into the floor

Image source: Getty Images

What did the Arafura chair say to shareholders today?

Southey said COVID-19 "continued to cast its long shadow across the globe" in 2022:

… the impact of COVID related stimulus and disrupted global supply chains have probably been far greater this year than anticipated by most businesses and Governments.

The natural inflationary impact of these two elements has been exacerbated by some of the most consequential geo-political events for decades.

Critically for Arafura, the events in 2022 have even more clearly demonstrated the strategic importance of our rare earths product to developed nations.

Heightened awareness of the importance of robust and sustainable supply chains … is of great strategic and commercial advantage to Arafura and ultimately to our shareholders.

What's the future look like for Arafura?

Looking to the future, Southey is optimistic, saying:

Forecasts show that the EV outlook will outperform earlier market expectations with manufacturers continuing to set ambitious goals for EV production targets.

Within the project team, 2022 was a critical year for practical and technical progress.

Your Board is increasingly confident that market demand, supply chain and sustainability factors, together with a firming and robust NdPr price are all moving in the direction required to enable us to undertake FID to commence construction of the Nolans Project, targeting first production of NdPr Oxide in 2025.

Southey said there were challenges on the horizon, though:

… we cannot ignore the challenges the economic environment brings. Among the many items now being carefully monitored by the Board is the inflationary impact of economic events on the potential cost of our development, particularly in materials and labour.

Sorry we locked you out of that capital raising

Arafura undertook a capital raising in August to secure $41.5 million through institutional and professional investors only.

The company issued approximately 156.7 million new shares at an issue price of 26.5 cents per share. That was 17% lower than the Arafura share price at the time.

Arafura also offered about 78.4 million options at an exercise price of 34 cents, expiring in 18 months.

Investors weren't impressed, and the Arafura share price fell 14% on the day of the announcement.

Southey said the board "appreciates that many of our other loyal shareholders would like to have participated in this most recent capital raising".

He assured shareholders there would be "future opportunities for shareholders to back our rare earths vision".

Southey said:

Undertaking a capital raising of any form in recent times has been challenging because of the unpredictability and volatility of the ASX and global markets.

In this context, the Board made the strategic decision to deepen our involvement with a number of significant new and existing investors, who were interested in providing substantive long-term support for our vision.

… we believe their presence on the register will have a longer-term significance.

The money went towards further development of the Nolans Project.

Arafura share price snapshot

Arafura shares are among the few ASX shares trading in the green for the year to date.

The Arafura share price is up 29% in 2022 so far. It is up 40% over the past 12 months.

By comparison, the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is down 13% in 2022 and 11% over 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Materials Shares

Why this ASX mining stock could be a strong buy after major milestone

Bell Potter is recommending this stock to clients.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Materials Shares

This ASX critical minerals company could more than double in value: Broker

An important US government milestone was achieved this week.

Read more »

A group of people gathered around a laptop computer with various expressions of interest, concern and surprise on their faces as they review the payouts from ASX dividend stocks. All are wearing glasses.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, or sell? South32, Capstone Copper, and BHP shares

Let's see what the experts think.

Read more »

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Materials Shares

PLS shares jump 320% in 12 months: Buy, sell or hold?

The lithium miner has flown from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Materials Shares

Morgans just placed buy ratings on these ASX materials stocks

These two stocks could be worth adding to your portfolio according to Morgans.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Materials Shares

Why Lynas could be one of the ASX's biggest winners again today

Lynas is gaining strategic value as rare earths tensions rise.

Read more »

Two workers on site discuss the next stage of this civil engineering job.
Materials Shares

Is takeover tension sending this ASX steel stock soaring?

Strong fundamentals and takeover speculation have pushed this share up 42%.

Read more »

Smiling worker in metal landfill.
Materials Shares

Another US milestone, another share price drop: What's going on with this ASX stock?

Metallium hits another US milestone, but shares slip again on Tuesday.

Read more »