Tesla just missed delivery estimates. Here's why it's time to buy

Tesla stock fell after its latest delivery news, but sellers aren't looking at the whole picture.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is the largest and most widely followed electric vehicle (EV) company, so it should not be a surprise that its stock moved on its latest quarterly vehicle delivery report. What is surprising is which direction it went. 

Shares dropped after the EV trailblazer reported third-quarter production and delivery results. Rather than bailing due to the lower-than-expected deliveries, investors should focus more on what the reaction means for the stock and what the underlying business is doing. That might change some sellers' minds. 

Look at production growth

Tesla reported a quarterly record with almost 344,000 vehicles delivered. Investors expected more and the report triggered a sell-off in the stock.

That reaction was despite the fact that those deliveries were 42% higher than the prior year period, and a 35% jump over the prior quarter. But none of those numbers are really what's important for long-term investors

What really mattered in that report was the nearly 366,000 vehicles Tesla actually produced in the third quarter.

That alone represents a pace of 1.45 million vehicles produced annually. And that comes despite several headwinds the company is facing right now. Many EV makers are having trouble getting parts, but Tesla is navigating supply chain disruptions well. 

The company has had to deal with lockdowns disrupting production at its Shanghai facility, and it is still working through the challenges associated with ramping up its two newest facilities in Austin, Texas and near Berlin, Germany. 

Investors shouldn't be worried about the discrepancy between produced vehicles and deliveries in the third quarter, however. All of its production has buyers, but the company said it is working to find enough "vehicle transportation capacity and at a reasonable cost".

Those logistics issues for shipping finished products are magnified thanks to the sharp increase in production growth. That's a good problem to have and should really encourage investors rather than scare them. 

Beyond just cars

Tesla isn't just about electric cars, either. The company will share its full third-quarter results on Oct. 19, 2022, and there will likely be other news items of interest from that.

CEO Elon Musk has previously said he expects the Tesla Semi battery-electric truck to begin shipping this year and the Cybertruck next year. Those could both become further growth drivers for the company. 

Tesla also should benefit from the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) in several ways. The new law resumes tax credits for EV buyers for some manufacturers -- including Tesla -- that had surpassed prior production limits.

Those credits previously ended after a manufacturer sold more than 200,000 vehicles. The IRA now has limits on vehicle list prices and requirements for more of the supply chain to be based in the US.

Tesla's lower-priced vehicles will be eligible under the price limit, and it already does some of its battery production domestically. The company is also now investigating whether to build a lithium refining facility in the US. 

Its battery production gigafactories support internal production, but Tesla has also been increasing production of battery storage and solar systems that it sells to outside customers. In its second-quarter report, the company said it continues to ramp up Megapack storage production as customer interest "remains strong and well above our production rate".

Why would some sell the stock?

However, some investors have a logical reason to sell the stock. Analysts expect earnings in the back half of 2022 to be 50% higher than the first half. If that comes to fruition, Tesla stock is already trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of about 56 based on 2022 earnings. 

That's a high valuation in any market, and the recent market sell-off has many investors looking more for safety than risky assets.

But Tesla believes it still has several more years where it will boost EV production at a 50% annual rate. That would bring the valuation down relatively quickly and could give long-term investors winning returns.

Add in the other sides to its business, and it might be wise to take advantage of the recent drop in Tesla stock.

This article was originally published on Fool.com. All figures quoted in US dollars unless otherwise stated.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on International Stock News

A young woman with a ponytail stands at the crossroads, trying to choose between one way or the other.
International Stock News

Best and worst case scenarios this week for global equities: Expert

Here's what the Betashares Chief Economist is expecting.

Read more »

A tech worker wearing a mask holds a computer chip.
International Stock News

Nvidia CEO reveals massive US$1 trillion AI chip opportunity

Nvidia boss Jensen Huang says Nvidia sees a trillion dollar AI chip opportunity ahead.

Read more »

Robot hand and human hand touching the same space on a digital screen, symbolising artificial intelligence.
International Stock News

Microsoft shares slump as investors are split on the AI capex boom

Microsoft’s capital expenditure jumped 66% year on year, driven by aggressive spend on AI infrastructure.

Read more »

red arrow representing a rise of the share price with a man wearing a cape holding it at the top
Share Market News

Goldman Sachs reveals 2026 predictions for S&P 500 and other global markets

What's the outlook?

Read more »

A businesman's hands surround a circular graphic with a United States flag and dollar signs, indicating buying and selling US shares
ETFs

Own IVV ETF? Here are your returns for 2025

US stocks outperformed ASX shares but the stronger Aussie dollar eroded returns for IVV ETF investors.

Read more »

A woman pulls her jumper up over her face, hiding.
International Stock News

Here's how the US Magnificent Seven stocks performed in 2025

Not so magnificent: 5 of the 7 stocks underperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite.

Read more »

the australian flag lies alongside the united states flag on a flat surface.
Share Market News

US stocks vs. ASX shares in 2025

Which market came out on top?

Read more »

A female engineer inspects a printed circuit board for an artificial intelligence (AI) microchip company.
International Stock News

Should you really invest in AI stocks in 2026? Here's what other investors are saying

Is AI headed for a bubble? Or is there still room for growth?

Read more »