Why Macquarie is tipping 25% upside for the Lynas share price

We take a look at the outlook for the Lynas share price.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Macquarie is tipping a 25% upside for the Lynas share price 
  • Lynas is producing rare earths Neodymium and Praseodymium from Mt Weld in Western Australia 
  • Lynas was awarded a contract from the USA this year to construct a heavy rare earths separation facility 

The Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) share price has fallen since the start of the year, but one analyst believes there are better days ahead.

Lynas shares have fallen nearly 26% in the year to date and are currently trading at $7.55. In today's trade, the company's share price is down 1.44%. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is 0.74% in the red today.

Let's take a look at the outlook for this rare earths explorer.

A mining worker wearing a hard hat, orange high vis vest and blue long-sleeved shirt raises his fists in celebration with an excited expression on his face

Image source: Getty Images

How high could the Lynas share price go?

Lynas is a rare earths company exploring the Mt Weld mine in Western Australia. The company also operates a rare earths processing plant in Malaysia.

The Lynas share price hit a yearly high of $11.39 in April before descending to the current share price.

However, the team at Macquarie believe Lynas can recoup some of these losses. The broker has raised the Lynas share price to outperform, the Australian Financial Review reported. Analysts have placed a $9.40 price target on Lynas shares. This is 25% more than the current share price.

Lynas reported a net profit after tax (NPAT) of $540.8 million in FY22, 244% more than the previous financial year. Revenue also lifted 88% from FY21 to $920 million.

Lynas produces Neodymium and Praseodymium (NdPr). The company is investing $500 million to increase capacity at the Mt Weld wine to 12,000 tonnes per annum of NdPr equivalent.

Lynas is also constructing a rare earths processing facility in Kalgoorlie and expanding to the United States.

The company is constructing a commercial Heavy Rare Earths separation facility in the United States, after receiving a US$120 million contract from the US Department of Defense. Planning is underway and this project is due to be operational in 2025.

Lynas share price snapshot

The Lynas share price has lost nearly 15% in the past month and nearly 7% in the last week. However, in the past year, Lynas shares have climbed 13%.

For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) has climbed 3% in the last year.

Lynas has a market capitalisation of nearly $6.83 billion based on the current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Materials Shares

Why this ASX mining stock could be a strong buy after major milestone

Bell Potter is recommending this stock to clients.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Materials Shares

This ASX critical minerals company could more than double in value: Broker

An important US government milestone was achieved this week.

Read more »

A group of people gathered around a laptop computer with various expressions of interest, concern and surprise on their faces as they review the payouts from ASX dividend stocks. All are wearing glasses.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, or sell? South32, Capstone Copper, and BHP shares

Let's see what the experts think.

Read more »

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Materials Shares

PLS shares jump 320% in 12 months: Buy, sell or hold?

The lithium miner has flown from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Materials Shares

Morgans just placed buy ratings on these ASX materials stocks

These two stocks could be worth adding to your portfolio according to Morgans.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Materials Shares

Why Lynas could be one of the ASX's biggest winners again today

Lynas is gaining strategic value as rare earths tensions rise.

Read more »

Two workers on site discuss the next stage of this civil engineering job.
Materials Shares

Is takeover tension sending this ASX steel stock soaring?

Strong fundamentals and takeover speculation have pushed this share up 42%.

Read more »

Smiling worker in metal landfill.
Materials Shares

Another US milestone, another share price drop: What's going on with this ASX stock?

Metallium hits another US milestone, but shares slip again on Tuesday.

Read more »