If I'd invested $1,000 in Pilbara Minerals shares at the start of 2022, here's what I'd have now

It's been an up and down year for the lithium favourite, but where does it sit right now?

| More on:
Young boy wearing suit and glasses counts his money using a calculator.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • It's been a good year so far for the share price of ASX 200 lithium stock Pilbara Minerals
  • After nearly halving in value over the first half of the year, the stock has posted an impressive recovery to hit a new record high last week
  • Here's what I would be doing if I had bought $1,000 worth of the company's shares at the start of 2022

ASX lithium shares have been on a rollercoaster this year, and the turbulence may have taken a toll on Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) investors.

At one point, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lithium favourite had tumbled more than 40% year to date. Fortunately it's turned things around, rocketing to a record high of $5.08 last week.

But are Pilbara Minerals shares a good investment?

To the victor go the spoils

Assuming I'd invested $1,000 in Pilbara Minerals stock on the first trading day of 2022, I probably would have bought 284 shares for $3.52 apiece.

And that would have marked a good short-term investment. My initial $1,000 holding would have been worth $1,312 at yesterday's close, having returned 31.25% in that time. Not too shabby, if I say so myself.

But it wouldn't have been a worry-free buy. The Pilbara Minerals share price closed at $2.04 in mid-June.

Meaning, at its lowest point, my holding's value would have been a disappointing $579.  

And while I'd love to factor in dividends to the equation, I unfortunately cannot. Though, one top broker previously tipped the company to pay its maiden dividend this financial year.

So, with my wishful investment having shot up in value over the last 10 months – despite plenty of volatility – is the stock worth snapping up right now?

Is it too late to buy Pilbara Minerals shares?

The ASX 200 lithium stock recently surpassed a major milestone, posting its first profit. The company brought in $1.2 billion of revenue and posted a $561.8 million after-tax profit over the 12 months ended 30 June.

It also boasts a decent cash position and expects to up its production in coming years amid surging demand for lithium.

However, the future of the Pilbara Minerals share price will likely be contingent on a single outside factor – lithium prices.

Of course, expected demand levels will likely drive up the price of the 'white gold', thereby boosting Pilbara Minerals' bottom line.

Analysts at Wilsons are among many expecting big things from the commodity's value as demand outstrips supply in coming years, as my Fool colleague Tony reports.

Meanwhile, Macquarie expects Pilbara Minerals shares will surge to $5.60, slapping the stock with a buy rating, The Motley Fool Australia's James reports.

All in all, I think the future still looks bright for the ASX 200 lithium favourite. If I somehow found myself back at the start of 2022, I know where I'd be putting – and keeping – my cash.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.
Materials Shares

Rio Tinto share price tumbles on Q3 production miss

This mining giant failed to live up to expectations during the third quarter.

Read more »

ASX share price rise represented by investor riding atop leaping lion
Materials Shares

What's catapulted the Liontown share price 24% in a month?

Are the hard times in the rear-view mirror for Liontown shareholders?

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Materials Shares

Here are the latest share price forecasts for Pilbara Minerals

Is this lithium miner heading higher or lower from current levels? Let's find out.

Read more »

Cat jumping from a sofa, symbolising dead cat bounce.
Materials Shares

ASX 300 lithium stock lifts off following quarter of 'significant milestones'

The ASX 300 lithium stock is racing ahead of the benchmark today.

Read more »

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price
Speculative

These speculative ASX mining stocks could rise 85%+

Bell Potter has put speculative buy ratings on these stocks this morning.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Materials Shares

Why ASX lithium stocks could run on China's BIG move

After a strong month, can China help ASX lithium shares deliver longer-term outsized gains?

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Materials Shares

This ASX 300 mining stock is jumping on 'national significance' news

Let's see what is getting investors excited on Monday.

Read more »

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Materials Shares

Buying Rio Tinto shares? Here's your Q3 preview

The mining giant is releasing its quarterly update next Wednesday.

Read more »