Is this ASX 200 share a better buy than Fortescue right now?

There's another sustainable iron ore favourite housed on the ASX 200.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Move over Fortescue, one fundie is expecting big things from ASX 200 iron ore developer Champion Iron
  • The smaller iron ore stock also boasts a low carbon footprint, according to the expert, with potential for further improvements
  • Meanwhile, brokers are bearish on Fortescue shares, with Goldman Sachs tipping a potential 28% downside

Brokers are currently sceptical of shares in S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) iron ore favourite Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG). But the iconic index houses another, potentially more promising, iron ore share.

Champion Iron Ltd (ASX: CIA) has been tipped as one to watch by a major fundie despite expectations the price of iron ore could fall.

The ASX 200 company is developing mining operations in Canada and currently trades at a share price of $4.82.

So, why might the far smaller ASX 200 share be a better buy than Fortescue? Let's take a look.

A businesswoman weighs up the stack of cash she receives, with the pile in one hand significantly more than the other hand.

Image source: Getty Images

Could this ASX 200 share be a better buy than Fortescue?

Janus Henderson Group (ASX: JHG) portfolio manager Tim Gerrard is reportedly bullish on metals and mining, and sustainability.

It's for those reasons he is also hopeful of ASX 200 mining share Champion Iron, Livewire reports. The fundie was quoted as saying the stock offers "plenty of catalysts and deep value", continuing:

[Champion Iron is] producing iron ore in Canada … That iron ore is low carbon, it has a low carbon footprint. There's a lot of hydropower in Canada.

That business is [also] being built off the back of a low capital base … and it can be expanded two or three times and so, even though I know [iron ore] prices might come off, it can be expanded.

But that's not all the fundie likes about the stock.

Gerrard told the masthead the key to his bullishness is the company's work to increase the grade of its iron ore, which could allow it to be used in steel recycling operations in the US. That could then lower the company's carbon footprint further.

Of course, Fortescue has plenty of green plans of its own. The company operates its renewable energy leg, Fortescue Future Industries, and recently committed to a massive decarbonisation push at its Pilbara operations.

While the latest move likely saw climate-conscious investors celebrating, it also raised eyebrows as some brokers queried how the company would fund the $9 billion plan.

Many assume the iron ore giant will reduce its dividends as it works to cut its scope one and two emissions from the region by 2030.

Indeed, most brokers are bearish on the future of the Fortescue share price, with Goldman Sachs tipping a 29% downside.

Shares in the ASX 200 giant are currently trading at $16.73, while the broker expects them to fall to $12.10.

Champion Iron share price snapshot

Shares in Champion Iron and Fortescue have performed similarly so far this year.

Both ASX 200 stocks have slumped around 15% year to date.

Looking longer-term, however, the Fortescue share price has outperformed, gaining 13% over the last 12 months. Meanwhile, that of Champion Iron has risen just 2%.

For context, the ASX 200 has fallen 14% since the start of 2022 and 9% since this time last year.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Comical investor reading documents and surrounded by calculators.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares newly upgraded this week

As the Iran war and fuel crisis continues, some ASX 200 shares have attracted upgrades from the experts.

Read more »

A smiling woman puts fuel into her car at a petrol pump.
Broker Notes

Up 60% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Ampol shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Ampol’s surging shares. But why?

Read more »

Smiling worker in metal landfill.
Broker Notes

Up 45% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Sims shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Sims' soaring share price. But why?

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names more of the best ASX shares to buy in April

The broker has good things to say about the shares this month.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares downgraded by Morgans this week

Let's see what the broker is saying about these two names.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Broker Notes

Should you buy Boss Energy shares for uranium exposure?

The team at Bell Potter has given its verdict on this uranium producer.

Read more »

A man leans forward propped on his elbows as he holds his clasped hands to his mouth in a worried pose as he gazes at his computer screen in a home setting.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Bank of Queensland, Koala, and Westpac shares

Let's see what analysts at Morgans are saying about these shares.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 200 share could be heading 40%+ higher

Looking for big returns? Bell Potter thinks this stock could be a buy.

Read more »