Are NAB shares a buy for income investors right now?

Is it time for income investors to buy NAB shares?

| More on:
Woman sitting at a desk shrugs.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for income, then National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares could be worth considering.

That's the view of analysts at Citi, who have recently upgraded the banking giant's shares.

NAB shares upgraded

According to the note, the broker has upgraded NAB's shares to a buy rating with a $32.75 price target.

Based on the latest NAB share price of $29.36, this implies potential upside of 11.5% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker is also expecting NAB's shares to provide investors with generous yields in the near term. It is forecasting a $1.50 per share dividend in FY 2022 and then a $1.85 per share dividend in FY 2023.

This equates to fully franked yields of 5.1% and 6.3%, respectively, over the next two years.

Why is the broker positive?

Last month Citi gave NAB's third quarter update a reasonably lukewarm response. It said:

Pre-provision profit of ~$2.5bn was in-line with Citi, but ~5% below Consensus driven by weaker than expected revenue growth of just ~3%. In the quarter, Markets & Treasury income unexpectedly fell, while NIMs ex M&T were only 'up slightly' (consensus +4bpts). Underlying expense growth was better than expected at just ~1%. CET 1 of 11.6% was a strong result, but benefited from undisclosed deductions movements. Looking to 4Q, the impact of recent RBA cash rate rises will deliver a very different set of results. We expect consensus 2H22 pre-provision estimates to remain intact with some possible refinement of BDDs.

Since then, though, the NAB share price has pulled back and the outlook for the banks has improved even more so.

In respect to the latter, Citi believes that NAB and the other big four banks are well-placed to profit thanks to their significant excess liquidity as rates rise. In fact, the broker has upgraded sector earnings estimates by 2% in FY 2023 and 4% in FY 2024 to reflect this.

All in all, this could make NAB shares one to consider if you don't already have meaningful banking sector exposure.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Why today is a big day for NAB shares

It’s a big day for NAB shareholders on Wednesday.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Bank Shares

Is the market too optimistic on Bank of Queensland shares?

Bank of Queensland shares have raced ahead of the benchmark over the past six months.

Read more »

A female investor sits at her messy desk and marks dates in her diary for Zip announcements in 2022
Bank Shares

Own Bendigo Bank shares? Here are the dates to watch in 2025

Bendigo Bank already has 2025 all mapped out.

Read more »

Smiling business woman calculates tax at desk in office.
Bank Shares

Why Macquarie shareholders are smiling today

Let's see what makes today a good day for owners of the investment bank's shares.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares higher despite CFO bombshell

What's going on at the big four bank today? Let's see what it announced.

Read more »

A fortune teller looks into a crystal ball in an office surrounded by business people.
Bank Shares

Here's the earnings forecast out to 2029 for NAB shares

Can investors bank on earnings growth from this blue chip?

Read more »

Smiling woman looking through a window.
Bank Shares

Why today is a good day to own NAB shares

This big four bank's shareholders will be smiling on Monday. But why?

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Bank Shares

Best ASX stock to buy right now: Macquarie vs. Westpac

What do brokers think about these two ASX bank stocks?

Read more »