2 ASX shares to buy for CHEAP after a shocking August: expert

If you want to beat the market, you have to behave differently to other investors.

| More on:
A man reacts with surprise when her see a bargain price on his phone.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Not surprisingly, many people are put off shares that have recently plunged in value.

After all, if other investors dislike a stock, why would you risk your own money?

However, if you want your investment to perform better than the average, many financial experts point out that you have to do things differently to everyone else.

"Buy when the crowd is bearish, sell when it is bullish," AMP Ltd (ASX: AMP) chief economist Dr Shane Oliver said last month.

"Extremes of bullishness often signal eventual market tops, and extremes of bearishness often signal bottoms."

The other bonus is that if other investors have abandoned the ship, the stock can be bought at a significant discount.

So with this in mind, let's take a look at two ASX shares that had shockers in August:

Sell-off has been 'overly excessive'

Glenmore Asset Management portfolio manager Robert Gregory, in a memo to clients, lamented the reporting season performance of two of his stocks.

First was industrial chemicals provider DGL Group Ltd (ASX: DGL).

"DGL Group fell 26.1% in the month," he said.

"DGL's FY22 result was solid, with NPAT of $33.6 million (up +197% vs FY21 NPAT) being in line with guidance given in April. However, commentary from the company around FY23 guidance for earnings growth to 'flatten' spooked investors," Gregory said.

The market was specifically worried about comments regarding how the company had earned more than it should have because of one-off opportunities that would not repeat in the next financial year.

"In addition, operating cash flow was weak, which DGL said was due to earlier than normal inventory purchases."

Despite this, Gregory feels like the market overreacted.

"Whilst the FY23 guidance was clearly worse than expected, we have maintained our position in DGL given our view the post result sell-off has been overly excessive."

The DGL share price almost halved in just one week at the end of last month but has since recovered slightly to be 39.4% down year to date.

Remaining positive on real estate trust

Gregory's other August dog was childcare and healthcare real estate trust Arena REIT No 1 (ASX: ARF).

"Arena REIT fell 12.7% in the month," he said.

"ARF's reported FY22 funds from operations (FFO) of 16.3 cents, up +7% vs FY21, which was in line with market expectations."

The result was "quite solid" and the company announced a distribution for financial year 2023 that was more than 5% higher than the previous period.

So why the plunge in share price?

"The stock price weakness was likely driven by expectations around higher interest costs which will dampen distribution growth in the next few years."

Again, Gregory reckons the market has not reacted proportionately.

"We remain positive on ARF given its long term lease profile (weighted average ~20 years) and attractive rent review structure where the majority of assets have annual rent increases linked to changes in consumer price index."

Arena REIT shares are down 17% so far this year while paying out a 3.6% dividend yield.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended DGL Group Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended DGL Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Analysts say these ASX shares are top buys in June

Brokers are urging investors to buy these shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man in trendy clothing sits on a bench in a shopping mall looking at his phone with interest and a surprised look on his face.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
REITs

What price target does Macquarie have on Goodman Group shares?

Goodman Group posted an interesting set of numbers in Q3. Here's Macquarie's take.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Broker Notes

Why Macquarie expects this ASX 200 copper stock to surge 36% in a year

Macquarie forecasts some hefty gains ahead for the ASX 200 copper miner. But why?

Read more »

two women celebrating good news on phone
Broker Notes

Top broker names 3 ASX All Ords stocks with between 30% and 77% upside

These 3 stocks offer compelling potential upside.

Read more »

Woman on her phone with diagrams of tech sector related elements linking with each other.
Broker Notes

A leading fund manager is buying these ASX 200 tech shares

Let's see why the fund manager has these shares in its focus portfolio.

Read more »

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Broker Notes

Broker says these ASX 200 shares can rise 40% to 80%

Bell Potter sees scope for these shares to rocket from current levels.

Read more »

A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.
Broker Notes

How this undervalued ASX All Ords share could rocket 80% in a year

A leading fund manager expects a big turnaround for this beaten-down ASX All Ords stock.

Read more »