Why Goldman Sachs is bullish on the Mineral Resources share price

Goldman is feeling bullish about this mining share…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) share price has been a strong performer over the last couple of months.

During this time, the mining and mining services company's shares have risen an impressive 28% to $58.71.

This has been driven largely by its exposure to lithium, which continues to command sky high prices thanks to its use in electric vehicles and renewable energy.

A man in a business suit sits at his desk with a laptop and smiles broadly in an office setting, giving an air of optimism and confidence.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the Mineral Resources share price keep rising?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts believe the Mineral Resources share price can rise further from current levels.

The note reveals that its analysts have retained their buy rating with an improved price target of $69.50.

Based on the current Mineral Resources share price, this implies potential upside of just over 18% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, the broker is forecasting a ~3% dividend yield in FY 2023, which stretches the total potential return to approximately 21%.

What did Goldman say?

Although Goldman Sachs wasn't blown away by either Mineral Resources' FY 2022 results or its FY 2023 guidance, it remains positive due to stronger than expected lithium prices. It commented:

MIN reported FY22 underlying EBITDA/NPAT of A$1,024mn/A$400mn,-6%/-15% below GSe and VA consensus on lower than expected earnings from iron ore and mining services. […] Guidance for FY23 was slightly negative vs GSe, with higher costs at the iron ore and Wodgina lithium, and ~A$0.5bn higher capex on a short construction timeframe for Ashburton, and flat mining services volumes.

We increase our FY23-25 EPS by -10%/+9%/+39% with higher iron ore and lithium costs in FY23 partly offset by MtM of our Sep Q lithium price forecasts, and InfraCo capital charges lifting outer-year earnings.

Overall, the broker expects a huge profit jump in FY 2023 thanks largely to the company's lithium operations. It explained:

We forecast a more than doubling of group EBITDA to over A$2.3bn in FY23 driven by higher lithium volumes (LiOH & spod), tailwinds from M-3 lithium pricing lags, and an improvement in low grade iron ore price realisations.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Broker Notes

These top ASX 200 shares could rise 30% to 40%

Analysts are predicting big things from these shares. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Netwealth, PLS, and Reliance shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these shares. Let's see what the broker is saying.

Read more »

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A panel of formidable business people stand in a group with serious looks on their faces as if in judgement of what's before them.
Broker Notes

3 ASX shares to buy: experts

In new notes, brokers say these ASX stocks are good buys today.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter is tipping a 40% return from this ASX 200 share

A 40% return could be on the cards for buyers of this share.

Read more »

Woman checking bottle expiry dates.
Broker Notes

Here's why Morgans just upgraded Woolworths shares

The supermarket giant just received a boost from Morgans.

Read more »

A frustrated young woman shopper holds her hands up with a pained, annoyed expression on her face as she stands next to her trolley in a grocery store and examines the stock offerings on the shelf in front of her.
Broker Notes

Why this leading broker just downgraded Woolworths shares

Let's see why this supermarket giant's shares have just been hit with a downgrade.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Are Mineral Resources shares a buy in May?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about this mining share.

Read more »