Broker says Endeavour share price weakness is a 'value entry point'

Goldman Sachs is tipping this drinks giant as a buy…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV) share price has taken a tumble this week.

Since this time last week, the drinks company's shares have lost 10% of their value.

Investors have been selling down the Endeavour share price after the company's full year results disappointed.

Three gentleman in suits clink their glasses of whiskey together in celebration of the rebounding Lark share price today

Image source: Getty Images

Is the weakness in the Endeavour share price a buying opportunity?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts believe investors should take advantage of this weakness to pick up shares.

In response to its results, the broker has reiterated its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $8.10. This implies potential upside of 9% for investors over the next 12 months.

And with Goldman forecasting a 21 cents per share dividend in FY 2023, which equates to a 2.8% yield, the total potential return on offer stretches to approximately 12%.

What did the broker say?

Goldman acknowledges that Endeavour's result was a bit of a mixed bag. It said:

EDV reported 2H22/FY22 results largely in-line with market expectations at the group level, but missed Retail EBIT margin (2H22 4.6%, in line with GSe, -1pt vs Factset Consensus) and FY23 first 7 weeks comp sales trend was weaker than expected (Retail: -6.7% YoY vs GSe -0.6%). On the other hand, Hotels was above expectations with EBIT margin (2H22 23.3% vs GSe 18.5%) and first 7 weeks comp trend was strong at +75% YoY.

This has led to the broker downgrading its earnings estimates slightly for the coming years.

'Value entry point'

Nevertheless, it remains positive on the long term and sees the Endeavour share price pullback as a "value entry point."

Despite the stock sell down on the back of results, our longer-term investment thesis for EDV does not change. We continue to see that EDV has one of the most loyal consumer bases in Retail (unique annual active users +15% YoY to 4.5mn in FY22) and improving VOC NPS. As the company continues to invest in consumer loyalty and digitalization, we expect that this will continue to drive mid-single digit sales growth in mix improvement together with cost efficiencies for margin expansion. We hence view the pull back in share price as a value entry point into a high quality and defensive player in AU Consumer.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A young woman wearing a red and white striped t-shirt puts her hand to her chin and looks sideways as she wonders whether to buy ASX shares
Broker Notes

3 ASX 200 shares at 52-week lows: Buy, hold, or sell?

These ASX 200 shares have experienced significant falls over the past 12 months. Is there value here?

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: BHP, CSL, and Woodside shares

Let's see if analysts are bullish or bearish on these giants.

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Broker Notes

Why this beaten down $9 billion ASX 200 share is now a buy

A leading expert believes AI will help, rather than hinder, this tech focused ASX 200 stock.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Collins Foods, Liontown, and Northern Star shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these top shares.

Read more »

A young boy sits on top of a big rubber bouncing ball with handles as he smiles a toothless grin at the camera and bounces above the ground in a grassy field with a blue sky.
Broker Notes

Two ASX shares on the rebound

Brokers suggest the rebound can continue.

Read more »

a mature but cool older woman holds a watering can and tends to a healthy green plant growing up the wall in her house.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter just initiated coverage on this ASX utilities stock with a buy recommendation

This under the radar company could be worth watching.

Read more »

Red buy button on an Apple keyboard with a finger on it.
Broker Notes

3 reasons to buy QBE shares today

A leading analyst expects QBE shares to outperform. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to buy these shares.

Read more »