Are Rio Tinto shares a buy? See what top brokers are saying

The miner's share price has struggled to make ground in recent months.

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Key points

  • Rio shares have levelled off at bottom ranges throughout July to date
  • The price of iron ore continues to be a key outlook in the investment debate
  • Rio Tinto shares are down more than 9% for the past 12 months

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has flatlined recently and is currently around 2% higher than this time last month.

The miner's shares closed on Thursday trading at $97.10 apiece, within range of their July 2022 levels.

But what do brokers think about the Rio Tinto share price? Let's take a look.

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy?

Analyst opinion is fairly mixed on the stock's status, with 11 out of 18 brokers saying it's a buy and the remainder rating it a hold, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

The consensus price target from this list is $113.36 per share, suggesting the group predicts a sizeable amount of upside yet to be priced in.

Those at Citi said that Rio still produces "robust" free cash flow, which could potentially pay up to $8.32 per share in dividends in FY22.

That dividend could potentially increase to $9.40 per share in FY23 if the miner continues its pace of free cash flow generation, Citi says.

Meanwhile, iron ore continues its sharp ascent and has reversed off highs of USD$119 per tonne on 1 August to reset at USD$105 per tonne on last check.

The volatility is matched within the Rio share price over extended periods, as seen in the chart below over the past six months.

TradingView Chart

With these factors in mind, it depends on investor process and preference as to whether Rio Tinto shares are a buy right now or not.

Analyst sentiment is tilted to bullish. However, underlying market fundamentals might be tightening, according to Trading Economics.

"Demand has also been suppressed by a worsening macroeconomic backdrop for the Chinese economy, with the latest data showing concerning figures for industrial production and retail sales that added to woes regarding the financial stability of the country's property developers," it said in a recent note.

The Rio Tinto share price is down more than 9% over the past 12 months.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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