Up 30% in a month, can the Pilbara Minerals share price keep rising?

Is this lithium share going to keep rising?

| More on:
A woman sits on a step laughing at something on her mobile phone as it is being charged by a lithium-powered battery.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) share price has been in fine form in recent weeks.

Since this time last month, the lithium miner's shares have stormed 31% higher to $3.12.

Can the Pilbara Minerals share price keep rising?

The good news for investors is that the Pilbara Minerals share price rally may not be over just yet.

That's the view of one leading broker that has just bumped its price target materially higher from previous levels.

According to a note out of Citi, its analysts have retained their buy rating but lifted their price target by 40% to $3.60.

Based on the current Pilbara Minerals share price, this implies potential upside of 15% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

While Citi has reduced its FY 2022 earnings estimate to reflect the company's recent update, it has given its FY 2023 and FY 2024 estimates a major boost to reflect higher spodumene price assumptions.

The broker explained:

We update our model for the JunQ result and Citi's higher spodumene deck. JunQ nos were pre-released –see: Cash flows in JunQ. Capex for expansion gets front-end loaded — with new info definitive cash costs of US$462/t CIF ex royalties. FY23 guidance to come with the financial result in August. Key interest at the result will be on capital management; PLS ended JunQ with A$874.2m including letters of credit.

Our EBITDA reduces by 9% in FY22e to A$840m after updating for the result. However, EBITDA lifts materially in FY23e and FY24e given higher spodumene prices. NAV lifts ~16% to A$2.70/sh and our TP lifts 40cps to A$3.60/sh. We stay Buy rated here with expectations of +15% FCF in FY23e.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Young businesswoman sitting in kitchen and working on laptop.
Materials Shares

Is Mineral Resources stock a good buy right now?

This mining share is trading close to multi-year lows. Is this a buying opportunity? Let's find out.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Materials Shares

Mineral Resources shares drop on compliance update

The Australian stock exchange operator has been busy quizzing the miner.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Materials Shares

Are Pilbara Minerals shares a buy, sell, or hold for 2025?

Let's see if analysts think this lithium giant should be in your portfolio now.

Read more »

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Materials Shares

4 popular ASX lithium shares going gangbusters on Tuesday

Pilbara Minerals and three other lithium stocks are having a particularly strong session.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

South32 shares sink amid $33 million copper investment

Copper continues to be in hot demand.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Should you buy BHP shares amid 2024's weakness?

Is now the time to pounce on the mining giant's shares? Here's what analysts are saying.

Read more »

Lion holding and screaming into a yellow loudspeaker on a blue background, symbolising an announcement from Liontown.
Materials Shares

Here's why the Liontown share price could rise almost 70%!

Bell Potter thinks this lithium miner could be a high risk/high reward option for investors.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Why is the Novonix share price rocketing 16% on Monday?

Big news is giving this stock a huge lift on Monday morning.

Read more »