Why is the Kogan share price kicking goals on Thursday?

Investors have been busy on the online retailer's shares these past few weeks.

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Key points
  • Kogan shares have caught a bid lately and have extended gains today
  • A better-than-expected result in the company's recent business update saw the share attract buyers 
  • In the past 12 months, the Kogan share price has collapsed almost 60% into the red

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price has jumped out of the gates to open the session on Thursday.

At the time of writing, Kogan shares are 2.84% higher at $4.35 apiece after hitting $4.54 earlier this morning. That's a rise of more than 7% despite no news out of the company today.

In broader market moves, the S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary Index (ASX: XDJ) is also up 1.67% while the S&P/ASX 200 Index is 0.26% higher so far today.

a man sits at his computer screen scrolling with his fingers with a satisfied smile on his face as though he is very content with the news he is receiving.

Image source: Getty Images

What's up with the Kogan share price?

Kogan shares received a boost last month when the company posted a business update for the 12 months to June 30, 2022.

In the update, Kogan reported it expects gross revenue of $1.18 billion and gross profit of $184 million, up 9.4% on 2021.

It also expects an increase in EBITDA for the period of $19.1 million, up from a loss the prior quarter.

Perhaps one key standout was a reported reduction in Kogan's inventory value, down to $161 million from $193 million in March.

The results, while not fantastic in absolute terms, "wasn't as bad as the market was expecting," TMF reported.

'Bad news is good news'

It seems this is a classic case of the 'bad news is good news' phenomenon that's been reported across various financial news outlets recently.

Last week, Bloomberg reported "[t]he stock market is wrestling with a 'bad news is actually good news' scenario".

Basically, when we're in a bear market and the mood is chronically pessimistic, news that 'isn't as bad as expected' can be deemed good news.

It's quite the paradox, however, as the market may have already priced in the prospect of recession, rising interest rates, and inflation, Bloomberg says.

That aside, consumer cyclical shares such as Kogan have caught a bid lately and are up 9% for the month, reversing a period of heavy downside, as shown below.

TradingView Chart

Share price snapshot

The Kogan share price has outperformed the sector gaining 52% in the past month. However, even with those gains, it's shed 60% over the last 12 months.

The company has a current market capitalisation of $458 million.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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