How are ASX 200 gold shares reacting to the RBA rate hike?

With interest rates heading sharply higher across most of the world, gold prices have dropped some 4% this calendar year, in US dollar terms.

| More on:
A boy holds a gold bar with a surprised look on his face due to falling ASX gold mining shares including the Newcrest share price

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ASX 200 gold stocks initially leapt higher after the RBA's rate hike announcement
  • The Evolution Mining share price gained 1.3% immediately after the announcement
  • Gold stocks are trailing the benchmark index today

S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gold shares initially outperformed the benchmark index following yesterday's 0.5% interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia.

Yesterday marked the fourth consecutive month that the RBA increased Australia's cash rate.

The official interest rate stood at all-time lows of 0.1% heading into May this year, after more than a decade that had seen only rate cuts from the central bank. The cash rate now stands at 1.85%, with RBA governor Philip Lowe forecasting additional rate increases ahead.

Here's how gold stocks are faring.

ASX 200 gold shares surge, then wane

The RBA reported on its rate hike decision at 2:30pm AEST.

In the hour or so immediately after the bank's media release, the ASX 200 first shot up 0.5% before finishing the day up 0.4% from the time of the announcement.

But ASX 200 gold shares reacted even more positively, at first.

The S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) – which contains gold stocks outside of the ASX 200 – initially leapt 0.9% before finishing the day up 0.3% from the RBA's announcement.

Today, gold stocks are broadly heading the other way, with the Gold Index down 0.8% in afternoon trade today compared to a 0.3% loss posted by the ASX 200.

As for the biggest gold stocks

Investors bid up the prices of ASX 200 gold shares in the hour or so immediately after news of the RBA's rate hike hit the wires.

The Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) share price initially leapt 0.9% before finishing yesterday flat. Newcrest shares are down 2.4% today.

Shares in Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) followed a similar trend, first jumping 0.9% before finishing yesterday up 0.6%. Today the Northern Star share price is down 1.3%.

As for Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN), the ASX 200 gold share jumped 1.3% higher on news of the rate hike before closing the day up 0.4.% The Evolution Mining share price is flat in afternoon trade today.

While gold, and gold stocks, have historically tended to hold their value well during inflationary periods, investors are keenly aware that gold doesn't pay a yield.

With interest rates heading sharply higher across most of the world, gold prices have dropped some 4% this calendar year, in US dollar terms.

That's sent all three of the ASX 200 gold shares mentioned above deep into the red in 2022.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

A cool man smiles as he is draped in gold cloth and wearing gold glasses.
Gold

2 of the best ASX gold stocks to buy for 2025

Analysts think that now is a golden opportunity to buy these stocks.

Read more »

A colourfully dressed young skydiver wearing heavy gold gloves smiles and gives a thumbs up as he falls through the sky.
Gold

One ASX 200 gold stock to buy now (and one to sell!)

Not all ASX 200 gold stocks are created equal.

Read more »

A woman in a business suit sits at her desk with gold bars in each hand while she kisses one bar with her eyes closed. Her desk has another three gold bars stacked in front of her. symbolising the rising Northern Star share price
Gold

The best ASX gold stocks to buy in 2025

Here's why these could be the gold stocks to buy in the new year according to the broker.

Read more »

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Gold

After a market beating year what can investors expect from the gold price in 2025?

Can the gold price repeat its stellar performance in 2025?

Read more »

miner giving 'ok' sign in front of mine
Gold

Own Newmont shares? You could be in for a lucrative 2025

This expert is expecting big things from Newmont in 2025.

Read more »

Gold nugget with a red arrow going down.
Gold

After plunging 25%, is this ASX gold stock now cheap?

Let's dive in and see.

Read more »

Gold spelt out in gold block letters.
Gold

Will 2025 shine bright for ASX gold shares?

Will it be a golden year?

Read more »

Three people with gold streamers celebrate good news.
Gold

3 reasons to buy Northern Star shares now

This expert forecasts more gains to come from Northern Star shares in 2025.

Read more »