Why did Jefferies slash its FY23 earnings forecast for CSL shares?

The ASX biotech giant has caught a bid so far in July.

| More on:
Two happy scientists analysing test results in a lab

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • CSL shares have drifted higher in FY23 along with the wider sector
  • Analysts are bullish on the share and advocate it as a buy right now
  • This is despite some brokers reducing their earnings forecasts for FY23

The CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL) share price has strengthened so far in H1 FY23, gaining 7.5% over the past month of trade.

Meanwhile, the broader sector has pushed higher recently as well. The S&P/ASX 200 Health Care Index (ASX: XHJ) has also lifted around 7% in the past month.

Broker downgrades CSL earnings forecasts

Analysts at investment bank Jefferies have reduced their earnings per share (EPS) projections for FY23 in a recent note.

The broker now estimates CSL will achieve EPS of $2.81 per share for the full year. That's a 6-cent reduction off previous estimates of $2.87.

However, the consensus of analyst estimates has projected CSL to deliver $2.49 in EPS for the coming 12 months.

Despite the downgrade, Jefferies still sits roughly 15% above the consensus with its bottom-line estimates for CSL. It also forecasts $3.40 in EPS for FY24 from the biotech giant.

Further, every analyst covering the company rates it a buy right now, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

As such, momentum continues for the company. The CSL share price has opened in the green today and is currently trading at $292.13, up 1.88%.

The company generated $464 million in free cash flow (FCF) last half, with a 14% return on invested capital.

Investors realise a 1% yield on this FCF with a corresponding 1% dividend yield.

It also sits on a debt to asset ratio of 23%, with debt financing just 28% of the company's total capital, according to calculations derived from CSL's financial statements.

The consensus price target on the stock is also $316 per share, according to Refinitiv Eikon's consensus data.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Guess which ASX 200 share Goldman Sachs says is a buy

The broker doesn't think Trump will spoil the party for this stock.

Read more »

A woman with strawberry blonde hair has a huge smile on her face and fist pumps the air having seen good news on her phone.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names the best ASX 200 stocks to buy in November

These quality stocks are top picks in November according to the broker.

Read more »

Male building supervisor wearing high vis vest and hard hat stands and smiles with his arms crossed at a building site
Broker Notes

1 ASX 300 stock just upgraded by brokers (and 2 downgraded)

Here's the latest ratings changes.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names the best ASX 200 stocks to buy in November

These quality stocks are top picks in November according to the broker.

Read more »

A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.
Broker Notes

2 ASX 300 shares to buy now for 50% to 80% returns

These shares could have big return potential according to brokers. Let's see what they are saying.

Read more »

Broker looking at the share price.
Broker Notes

3 ASX All Ords shares just got BIG upgrades from top brokers

Leading brokers believe these ASX All Ords stocks could fly higher into 2025.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Broker Notes

Up 45% in 2024! Can ResMed shares keep rising?

Is this high-flying stock destined to keep soaring? Let's see what one broker is saying.

Read more »