What's the outlook for Newcrest Mining shares in FY23?

Newcrest remains compressed in 2022.

| More on:
A girl looks through a microscope at money.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Newcrest shares are rangebound today, but have drifted lower in recent months
  • Gold has also taken a backward step in 2022 and is trading at key support levels
  • In the last 12 months, Newcrest shares have slipped more than 26% into the red

Shares of Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) are rangebound today and trade less than 1% in the red.

At the time of writing, the gold miner is fetching $19.23, following an 18% slip into the red over the past month of trade.

Meanwhile, the price of gold is still bottom-heavy at US$1,722 per ounce.

What's in store for Newcrest shares?

The gold price has been a challenge for Newcrest in CY2022. It has tumbled from previous highs and now trades at key long-term support levels, as seen below.

Newcrest shares and the gold price tend to track each other closely. Gold has been drifting lower as the opportunity cost of holding the yellow metal increases amid rising yields. Recall, gold pays no interest.

TradingView Chart

Newcrest released its operational update and exploration overview for the June quarter. The company reported sound results, with gold production in line with forecasts, and copper production slightly lower than guidance.

It also reported higher injury rates than the prior period at its Cadia, Telfer and Red Chris operations.

Investors can expect FY23 full-year guidance in Newcrest's annual report due for presentation on 19 August.

It did note, however, that it is progressing its "exciting pipeline of organic growth projects," and remains "focused on superior operational performance".

Meanwhile, 47% of brokers presently advocate buying Newcrest shares, while the remaining 53% are advising to hold, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

The consensus price target from this list is $25.62, suggesting there could be more upside yet for the miner if this group is correct.

In the last 12 months, Newcrest shares have slipped more than 26% into the red.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Woman holding gold bar and cheering.
Gold

Why are ASX gold shares rebounding today?

ASX investors are going for gold today.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

Newmont share price races higher on $1.3b windfall

This gold miner is catching the eye on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A cool man smiles as he is draped in gold cloth and wearing gold glasses.
Gold

4 reasons to buy this ASX 200 gold stock today

A leading expert has a buy recommendation on this ASX 200 gold stock. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

a man wearing a gold shirt smiles widely as he is engulfed in a shower of gold confetti falling from the sky. representing a new gold discovery by ASX mining share OzAurum Resources
Gold

Why this 'sector leading' ASX 200 gold stock could deliver market-beating returns

Bell Potter thinks golden returns could be on offer from this mining stock.

Read more »

Man drawing illustration of a big fish eating a little fish representing a takeover or acquisition.
Gold

Guess which buy-rated ASX gold stock is 'a likely takeover target'

Bell Potter thinks that this gold stock could deliver big returns.

Read more »

Gold bars and Australian dollar notes.
Gold

Down 21% in a month, should you buy Newmont shares before they trade ex-dividend?

This gold stock has been battered by the markets.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Gold

Why is this ASX 300 stock crashing 32% on Monday?

Let's find out why investors are hitting the panic button this morning.

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale representing ASX gold shares
Gold

Are ASX gold shares still worth buying after the US election?

We discuss some expert opinions on where gold is heading to next.

Read more »