Why I think Domino's can deliver as an ASX dividend share

With a far lower share price automatically raising the dividend yield, and extensive plans for profit growth through network expansion, can Domino's deliver for ASX dividend investors?

| More on:
A couple of friends at a rooftop party enjoying some hot and tasty Domino's pizza

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • After the heavy fall of the Domino’s share price, it’s now offering a decent yield
  • Domino's has a history of dividend growth over the past decade
  • Long-term earnings growth could fund rising dividend payments over time

The Domino's Pizza Enterprises Ltd (ASX: DMP) share price is 3% higher in morning trading today. It's currently fetching $74.85 per share and is up 17.2% over the past month.

The increasingly global fast food business has been growing in size for many years. But the Domino's share price has more than halved in the past year. It's down around 55% since mid-September 2021.

One of the benefits of a lower share price is that it boosts the prospective dividend yield for new investors. Not only that, Domino's has some grand plans for company growth, which in turn could raise profits and dividends for shareholders.

Domino's has long been seen as an ASX growth share, but could it become an ASX dividend share, too?

A decade of growth in Domino's dividends

Domino's can point to a decade of growth in its dividend over the past 10 years.

Most recently, the company decided to maintain its interim dividend for FY22 at the same level as FY21. This followed a 5.3% fall in underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) to $91.3 million in the first half of FY22.

Based on the past 12 months of dividends, Domino's has a grossed-up dividend yield of about 3% at the current share price.

If the company grows its earnings over the long term, I think the dividend can rise as well.

Looking at CMC Markets' estimate for the Domino's dividend in FY24, it suggests long-term growth.

CMC has projected a potential grossed-up dividend yield of 3.7% in FY24 due to higher earnings by then.

Why the earnings of Domino's could rise

The food business is employing a few key tactics to help it grow its earnings into the future.

Growing into new international markets has been a big boost for the scale of the business over the years. Domino's recently added its tenth market, Taiwan, which brought 156 stores to the overall network.

The company has two longer-term goals. Over the next three to five years, it wants to grow its new store openings by 9% to 12% per annum and increase same-store sales by between 3% to 6%.

To put some numbers on it, the Asia Pacific region currently has 1,959 stores. Domino's wants to grow this to 3,600 (a collective increase for the region of 83.8%). In Europe, it has 1,368 stores and wants to grow this to 3,050 (up 123%).

Domino's believes that the growth of digital and delivery will help the company achieve the growth it's looking for. The company notes that delivery is the fastest growing part of the fast food market.

The company thinks that increased scale will help in a number of ways. This includes growing advertising funds and reducing the cost of delivery. It says that shorter run times mean more profitable deliveries.

It believes that a reduction of delivery costs by a third is possible in every market.

What's happened to the Domino's share price in 2022?

The Domino's share price is down nearly 40% in the year to date.

A falling share price automatically lifts the dividend yield, as long as the company can maintain the same level of payments to shareholders.

Foolish takeaway

According to CMC, the Domino's share price is valued at 27 times FY24 estimated earnings.

While not as cheap as it was in June, I think this represents an attractive entry point for long-term investors.

FY24 and beyond look like good years for dividend growth.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Dominos Pizza Enterprises Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Opinions

1 stock I think will gatecrash the ASX 200 in 2025!

This stock could be called into the index next year.

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Dividend Investing

Building up income: 2 ASX dividend shares I believe are a buy

These two stocks have strong dividend potential.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 notes with a delighted face.
Dividend Investing

2 ASX shares with dividend yields above 7%

Here’s why these stocks are appealing for income investors.

Read more »

Three happy office workers cheer as they read about good financial news on a laptop.
Cheap Shares

These ASX 200 shares keep smashing new highs. Too late to buy?

Finding cheap shares is hard, but not impossible, right now.

Read more »

A woman smiles as she sits on the bus using her phone and listening to music through headphones.
Opinions

2 compelling ASX shares on sale right now

These stocks could be trading at bargain prices.

Read more »

People sit in rollercoaster seats with expressions of fear, terror and exhilaration as it goes into a steep downward descent representing the Novonix share price in FY22
Opinions

Are you invested in ASX 'volcano' stocks?

ASX volcano stocks can be very volatile and sometimes exciting.

Read more »

A businessman hugs his computer and smiles.
Opinions

If I were 40, I'd buy these ASX shares in 2024 for the long term

These investments look very compelling to me as buy-and-hold investments.

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop. A financial graph is superimposed across the image.
Opinions

3 reasons the GQG share price looks like a buy to me

Here’s why the fund manager could be good value.

Read more »