Bubs share price higher after more than tripling Q4 sales

Bubs had a strong final quarter…

| More on:
happy man feeding baby in the home kitchen

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Bubs had a strong final quarter thanks to US shortages and its daigou agreement
  • This led to sales more than doubling during FY 2022
  • Despite this growth, the company continues to post operating cash outflows

The Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) share price is on the move on Wednesday.

In morning trade, the infant formula company's shares are up almost 4% to 55.5 cents following the release of its quarterly and full year update.

Bubs share price higher amid strong Q4 sales growth

For the three months ended 30 June, Bubs delivered a 278% increase in gross revenue over the prior corresponding period to $48.1 million.

This led to Bubs' second half gross revenue growing 168% to $65.7 million and its full year gross revenue increasing 123% to $104.2 million for FY 2022.

Management advised that this was driven by gross across all key product segments and all key markets.

A key driver was the company's US business which was given an almighty boost from the U.S. Government's Operation Fly Formula.

In order to help with supply issues, Bubs' infant formula products are now sold in over 5,400 stores across 34 US states. This includes the four largest retailers of infant formula: Walmart, Kroger, Albertsons/Safeway and Target.

In China, the company's interesting decision to reward a key daigou seller with shares in exchange for sales appears to be working with corporate daigou sales up 1,201% during the fourth quarter.

However, taking some of the shine off the strong top line result was the company's cash flow. Despite its sales growth, Bubs recorded an operating cash outflow of $6.7 million for the quarter and $10.2 million for the year.

Management commentary

Bubs's CEO Kristy Carr was very pleased with the final quarter. She commented:

The last quarter has seen the business reach critical mass following exceptional growth across Australia, China, and rapid expansion in the USA with our involvement in the Biden-Harris Administrations' Operation Fly Formula initiative aimed at helping to mitigate the ongoing infant formula shortage crisis. This business diversification and increased scale of our most profitable products and channels has flowed through to our operating margins, delivering profitability for the full year (excluding non-cash equity compensation expenses).

Carr also appears confident that the company's US operations aren't just benefiting from a one-time sugar hit due to supply issues.

We are confident of the long-term growth prospects for the USA now that the Food and Drug Administration has committed to a framework for suppliers like Bubs, who have already been approved to import infant formula products, to remain on shelf beyond November 2022. As a result, we envisage the USA will become a lead export market opportunity on par with China in the future.

Outlook

Bubs continues to expect to report underlying EBITDA of greater than $2.4 million. Though, this excludes non-cash equity compensation expenses such as share based payments and equity linked transactions.

Looking further ahead, Bubs' executive chair, Dennis Lin, was optimistic on the company's growth outlook. He said:

Now that we have achieved scale with over $100 million in gross revenue, we expect margin accretive growth to continue, and anticipate FY23 revenue and margin contribution will be largely attributed to growth in China and the USA, and across our portfolio segments, with infant formula forming a significantly higher proportion of revenue than the current 60 per cent.

The USA represents the most dynamic opportunity and long-term growth prospect for the business. The team will be singularly focused on delivering earnings accretive growth in FY23 and beyond for our existing and new shareholders.

Should you invest $1,000 in Cyclopharm Limited right now?

Before you buy Cyclopharm Limited shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Cyclopharm Limited wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 6 March 2025

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A couple in a supermarket laugh as they discuss which fruits and vegetables to buy
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How this $400 million program could lift the Woolworths share price

Buying Woolworths shares? You’ll want to read this!

Read more »

A happy young woman in a red t-shirt hold up two delicious burritos.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Guzman y Gomez shares are a buy after crashing on earnings results

A leading expert says the sell-off in Guzman y Gomez stock is an overreaction. But why?

Read more »

A customer and shopper at the checkout of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Leading broker says buy both Woolworths and Coles shares

Its analysts think these shares are on sale right now. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A gambler at a casino bets a pile of chips on one number
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Would you buy more Star Entertainment shares in a capital raise?

Bally's has suggested a fully underwritten capital raise including a Share Purchase Plan for investors.

Read more »

A man sits in a chair hunched over a laptop and covered head to toe in frozen icicles to represent Envirosuite's trading halt
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Star Entertainment shares still frozen amid financial rescue plan as second bidder emerges

US casino giant Bally's offered to buy a controlling stake in Star Entertainment over the weekend.

Read more »

A photo of a young couple who are purchasing fruits and vegetables at a market shop.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

With a 5% dividend yield, is the Coles share price a buy?

Is this stock worth putting in the shopping basket?

Read more »

Woman with an amazed expression has her hands and arms out with a laptop in front of her.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A2 Milk shares rocketed 35% in February: Are there more gains ahead?

Can this high-flyer keep on rising or is it now fully valued?

Read more »

a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is the Woolworths share price sinking to a multi-year low?

Let's see what is putting pressure on this supermarket giant's shares today.

Read more »