Bubs share price higher after more than tripling Q4 sales

Bubs had a strong final quarter…

| More on:
happy man feeding baby in the home kitchen

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Bubs had a strong final quarter thanks to US shortages and its daigou agreement
  • This led to sales more than doubling during FY 2022
  • Despite this growth, the company continues to post operating cash outflows

The Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) share price is on the move on Wednesday.

In morning trade, the infant formula company's shares are up almost 4% to 55.5 cents following the release of its quarterly and full year update.

Bubs share price higher amid strong Q4 sales growth

For the three months ended 30 June, Bubs delivered a 278% increase in gross revenue over the prior corresponding period to $48.1 million.

This led to Bubs' second half gross revenue growing 168% to $65.7 million and its full year gross revenue increasing 123% to $104.2 million for FY 2022.

Management advised that this was driven by gross across all key product segments and all key markets.

A key driver was the company's US business which was given an almighty boost from the U.S. Government's Operation Fly Formula.

In order to help with supply issues, Bubs' infant formula products are now sold in over 5,400 stores across 34 US states. This includes the four largest retailers of infant formula: Walmart, Kroger, Albertsons/Safeway and Target.

In China, the company's interesting decision to reward a key daigou seller with shares in exchange for sales appears to be working with corporate daigou sales up 1,201% during the fourth quarter.

However, taking some of the shine off the strong top line result was the company's cash flow. Despite its sales growth, Bubs recorded an operating cash outflow of $6.7 million for the quarter and $10.2 million for the year.

Management commentary

Bubs's CEO Kristy Carr was very pleased with the final quarter. She commented:

The last quarter has seen the business reach critical mass following exceptional growth across Australia, China, and rapid expansion in the USA with our involvement in the Biden-Harris Administrations' Operation Fly Formula initiative aimed at helping to mitigate the ongoing infant formula shortage crisis. This business diversification and increased scale of our most profitable products and channels has flowed through to our operating margins, delivering profitability for the full year (excluding non-cash equity compensation expenses).

Carr also appears confident that the company's US operations aren't just benefiting from a one-time sugar hit due to supply issues.

We are confident of the long-term growth prospects for the USA now that the Food and Drug Administration has committed to a framework for suppliers like Bubs, who have already been approved to import infant formula products, to remain on shelf beyond November 2022. As a result, we envisage the USA will become a lead export market opportunity on par with China in the future.

Outlook

Bubs continues to expect to report underlying EBITDA of greater than $2.4 million. Though, this excludes non-cash equity compensation expenses such as share based payments and equity linked transactions.

Looking further ahead, Bubs' executive chair, Dennis Lin, was optimistic on the company's growth outlook. He said:

Now that we have achieved scale with over $100 million in gross revenue, we expect margin accretive growth to continue, and anticipate FY23 revenue and margin contribution will be largely attributed to growth in China and the USA, and across our portfolio segments, with infant formula forming a significantly higher proportion of revenue than the current 60 per cent.

The USA represents the most dynamic opportunity and long-term growth prospect for the business. The team will be singularly focused on delivering earnings accretive growth in FY23 and beyond for our existing and new shareholders.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Young couple having pizza on lunch break at workplace.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is Warren Buffett buying Domino's shares while they're down?

Could this be a vote of approval?

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What is Bell Potter saying about the Woolworths share price?

Is it recommending Woolies as a buy?

Read more »

A man cheers after winning computer game while woman sitting next to him looks upset.
Earnings Results

2 high-flying ASX 200 gaming shares splitting ways today

Which gaming giant is winning the admiration of investors amid results?

Read more »

Two brokers analysing stocks.
Broker Notes

Don't miss these changes to broker ratings on ASX shares

The verdicts are in.

Read more »

a man stands with his arms folded in front of banks of unused poker machines in a darkened gaming room.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Up 59% in 2024, why this ASX 200 stock is making noise today

Big money for this company's free offering.

Read more »

A company manager presents the ASX company earnings report to shareholders at an AGM.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why today is a big day for Coles shares

And not because of any outsized share price moves.

Read more »

A child pulls a very sad crying face sitting in the child seat of a supermarket trolley in a supermarket aisle lined with grocery items.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why did the Woolworths share price just hit a new 4-year low?

Pressures continue for the supermarket giant.

Read more »

Couple look at a bottle of wine while trying to decide what to buy.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just hit an all-time low following a profit warning

Higher costs and flat sales are weighing on this blue-chip stock.

Read more »