What's the outlook for the Core Lithium share price in FY23?

Can lithium players re-rate this financial year? We take a closer look.

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Key points

  • The Core Lithium share price is gaining in afternoon trade today
  • The ASX lithium share is now up almost 300% over the past 12 months
  • Its rise could continue in FY23, with all the brokers covering it rating Core Lithium as a buy 

The Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) share price is trading 3.43% in the green today.

At the time of writing, Core Lithium shares are swapping hands at 90.5 cents apiece, sharply reversing a downtrend started on 28 June.

In broad market moves, the S&P/ASX 300 Metals and Mining Index (ASX: XMM) is pushing 2.34% higher today.

Core Lithium shares to rally again in FY23?

Core Lithium delivered outsized returns in the last financial year, helping the ASX lithium share surge 300% in the past 12 months.

The question is, can the company continue at this kind of pace, and what should investors keep an eye out for?

Lithium carbonate pricing continues to remain buoyant, trading at US$70,702 per tonne – in line with February 2022 highs.

It has held this range since 27 May after reversing out of a short-term downtrend, as seen below.

TradingView Chart

Demand continues to outweigh supply along the lithium supply chain. This could push the cost of batteries higher – or at least keep them relatively high – JP Morgan said in its 2022 annual energy paper in May.

This could bode well for the Core Lithium share price.

Moreover, Core Lithium is rated as a buy by 100% of the brokers covering the share, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

The consensus price target from this list is $1 per share, suggesting a small amount of upside should the bull thesis be correct.

However, mining shares have traded down recently as investors begin to unwind the commodity trade, lithium being the exception.

If weakness from the broad sector were to transpose onto the company, this could be a downside risk.

As seen on the chart below, the Core Lithium share price has tracked the ASX 300 Metals and Mining Index with striking similarity in 2022.

TradingView Chart

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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