Down 25% in a month, what is the outlook for the Allkem share price in July?

Could the lithium company's share price turn around in July?

| More on:
A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Allkem share price fell 25% in the month of June 
  • However, multiple brokers are tipping more than 60% upside on the company's share price
  • Analysts like Allkem's geographic mix with projects all over the world 

The Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) share price had a horror June, but could the company's fortunes turn around?

The lithium miner's share price fell from $13.71 at market close on 31 May to $10.31 on 30 June. That's almost a 25% drop.

In today's trade, the Allkem share price is 1.48% in the red, currently trading at $9.97.

So could July be a better month for the Allkem share price?

Could the Allkem share price go higher?

Allkem is a lithium company with projects including Mt Cattlin in Western Australia and Olaroz in Argentina. Other projects include Naraha in Japan, Sal de Vida in Argentina, and James Bay in Quebec.

Like multiple ASX lithium shares, the Allkem share price tumbled in the month of June. For context, its peer Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) lost 31% in June while Lake Resources NL (ASX: LKE) fell 49%.

However, analysts, including Macquarie, are positive on the Allkem share price. Macquarie has placed an outperform rating on the company's share price with a $17 price target. This is 68% more than the company's current share price.

The analyst sees high lithium prices benefiting the company's shares, however, the broker highlights energy costs could impact long-term profit.

Meanwhile, the team at Morgans has also recently placed a $16.38 price target on Allkem shares with an add rating. This represents a 62% upside.

Morgans analysts are positive on the company's geographical mix and diverse products. Morgans sees these factors as a way for Allkem to "capture value as the market evolves".

Allkem has a goal of raising lithium production to three times its current levels by 2026. The company also wants to sustain a 10% share of the global lithium market in the next decade.

Quest Long portfolio manager Richard Dixon recently explained why his fund holds Allkem shares. He said:

We have held Allkem for many years and also hold IGO and Mineral Resources.

Allkem is the only lithium pure play of the trio, but it is a diversified producer with major expansion plans that can be easily funded from existing cash flow.

Share price snapshot

Allkem shares have surged nearly 44% in a year but have fallen nearly 5% year to date.

For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Materials Index (ASX: XMJ) has shed nearly 10% in a year and 7% year to date.

The company has a market capitalisation of about $6.3 billion based on its current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Materials Shares

Why this $10 billion ASX lithium stock is surging 8% today

This lithium miner is making its shareholders smile on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Five happy miners standing next to each other representing ASX coal mining shares which some brokers say could pay big dividends this year
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares: Best 5 of a weak bunch in 2024

Only one All Ords lithium stock really impressed investors last year with a near 90% share price gain.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why did the BHP share price crash 21% in 2024?

This mining giant had a disappointing year. Will things be better in 2025?

Read more »

a man holds his arms out and shrugs his shoulders as if indicating he doesn't know the answer to a question he's been asked.
Materials Shares

Why did the Pilbara Minerals share price crash 45% in 2024?

Why were investors selling off this lithium giant this year? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

How much could $5,000 invested in BHP shares be worth in a year?

Here's what one leading broker believes could happen with this miner's shares next year.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Materials Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX lithium stock could rocket 90%+ in 2025

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this lithium developer.

Read more »

A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Forget Fortescue shares and buy this ASX iron ore stock

Bell Potter thinks this iron ore miner could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are ASX lithium shares prime real estate for value hunters?

Can these stocks recharge returns for investors?

Read more »