Why did the Evolution share price freefall 38% in June?

It's been another disappointing month for Evolution shares.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Evolution shares tanked 38% last month to finish at $2.38 
  • Several macro environmental trends such as the ailing price of gold is dragging down the Evolution share price 
  • UBS thinks that the gold miner's shares are undervalued, giving it a buy rating with a 12-month price target of $4.05 

A month of volatile trading conditions led the Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price to sink 38% last month.

At the start of June, the gold miner's shares picked up from $3.84 but finished at $2.38 on June 30.

Across the sector, the S&P/ASX 200 Resources (ASX: XJR) index declined by roughly 11% over the same time frame.

Nonetheless, the beginning of July has led Evolution shares to trade sideways as investors remain cautious for the time being.

At the time of writing, the mining outfit's shares are up 4.20% at $2.48.

A woman wearing a gold top and carrying a gold bar gives the thumbs down signal as she leans against a wall with a sombre look on her face as the Kingsgate share price goes lower

Image source: Getty Images

What impacted Evolution shares in June?

Investors sold off the Evolution share price following concerns about further market falls in 2022 along with a business update.

A downbeat economic outlook impacted by rampant inflation and rate hikes by major central banks weighed on investor sentiment.

This led to consumer confidence dropping to a 16-month low in the United States, whilst GDP contracted 1.6% for the first quarter of 2022.

However, a business update released by the company on June 27 drove Evolution shares to plummet almost 22%.

An expected fall in annual gold production along with higher all-in-sustaining-costs (AISC) will drag down its FY22 guidance.

Subsequently, the price of gold continued to tread lower, fetching just above the psychological US$1,800 barrier.

This means that a decline in the price of the yellow metal translates to a loss of potential revenue for Evolution.

It appears that investors have been turned off by the company's misfortunes with heavy trading volumes occurring last week.

Evidently, this has put selling pressure on Evolution shares as investors seek better risk/reward opportunities.

Is now the time to buy into the Evolution share price?

The Evolution share price could be trading at attractive levels. As reported by my Foolish colleague, Brendon, UBS upgraded its rating on the miner's shares to a buy.

The broker believes there is still significant value in Evolution and has put a 12-month price target of $4.05.

Based on the current share price, this represents a 63% upside for investors.

Evolution commands a market capitalisation of approximately $4.55 billion.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.
Share Fallers

Why Brightstar, EQ Resources, Novonix, and Pro Medicus shares are falling today

These shares are under pressure on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated and shocked business woman reading bad news online from phone.
Share Fallers

Why New Hope, Pepper Money, Pro Medicus, and Reece shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A man in a business suit looks at a gold phone with his head in an exploding cloud of gold dust.
Gold

Newmont stock has plunged 17% in March. Here's why

This war has had an unusual effect on the price of gold.

Read more »

a woman looks exhausted and overwhelmed as she slumps forward into her hand while looking at her laptop screen.
Share Fallers

Why Regis Resources, Strike Energy, Telix, and Virgin Australia shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why CAR Group, Immutep, Northern Star, and Syrah Resources shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red? Here's why.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why EOS, GQG, Liontown, and Temple & Webster shares are tumbling today

These shares are struggling on Thursday. Let's find out what's going on.

Read more »

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering the face.
Share Fallers

Why Breville, Forrestania Resources, GQG Partners, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Share Fallers

Why Coles, Pantoro Gold, Seek, and Woodside shares are falling today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »