Own Santos shares? This analyst expects gas prices to grow through to 2025

Could rising gas prices help the Santos share price?

| More on:
a gas worker with hard hat and high visibility vest stands cross armed and smiling in front of an elaborate steel structured gas plant.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Santos shares are among multiple ASX 200 energy shares in the green today 
  • UBS analysts are predicting gas contract prices could rise 10% a year until 2025
  • Analysts are forecasting gas-fired power to leap in the future 

One analyst is predicting gas prices to rise in the future, so could this be beneficial to gas producers like Santos Ltd (ASX: STO)?

Santos shares are up 3.18% today, currently trading at $7.61. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Energy Index (ASX: XEJ) is 3.65% higher at the time of writing.

Let's take a look at the outlook for gas prices.

Gas prices to rise: UBS

UBS analysts have predicted east coast gas contract prices will rise 10% a year up to 2025, according to a Thomson Reuters report cited by NAB trade.

Brokers attributed their forecast to a lack of supply as coal-fired plants in Australia shut down.

The UBS analysts were quoted as saying: "While it may take some time for electricity prices to normalise, we expect the role of gas-fired power generation to lift as coal continues to exit the market."

Santos generated $281 million in sales revenue from domestic sales of gas and ethane in the first quarter of 2022. Liquefied natural gas sales contributed a further $1.1 billion in sales revenue for the company, while liquefied petroleum gas sales generated $40 million.

Today's share market gains

Santos is among multiple ASX 200 energy shares rising today as oil supply concerns weigh on the market.

Oil-producing nations Ecuador and Libya are facing disruptions due to political upheaval. At the same time, Group of Seven (G7) countries are discussing possibly placing a cap on the price of Russian oil to show support for Ukraine, Reuters reported.

However, oil consultant Andrew Lipow told the publication this would be difficult to implement given "China and India have become Russia's biggest customers".

At the time of writing, Brent Crude Oil prices are up 1.58% to US$116.67 a barrel, while WTI Crude Oil prices are 1.28% higher to US$110.85 a barrel, Bloomberg Energy figures show.

Santos share price snapshot

The Santos share price has climbed 5% in the past 12 months. However, in the year to date, it has gained nearly 21%.

In comparison, S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has lost around 8% in the past year.

Santos has a market capitalisation of about $25.7 billion based on the current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

people jumping in celebration against a setting sun
Energy Shares

5 of the best ASX uranium shares to buy and hold in 2024 revealed

Despite slumping uranium prices, these ASX uranium stocks charged ahead of their peers in 2024.

Read more »

Two men laughing while bouncing on bouncy balls
Energy Shares

The two ASX energy stocks I think are set to rebound in 2025

After a shocking 2024, could these two energy companies power up again this year?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a white shirt and blue suit jacket sits at his desk looking at his laptop with his hands to his chin, waiting in anticipation.
Energy Shares

Is it time to buy back into ASX lithium shares like Pilbara Minerals?

Can the lithium sector recharge investor returns?

Read more »

Four people on the beach leap high into the air.
Energy Shares

4 ASX uranium stocks to buy now amid an 'exceptionally positive' outlook for nuclear energy

ASX uranium stocks are trouncing the benchmark returns in these early days of 2025.

Read more »

A group of young friends are supposed to be having a rooftop party but the lights have dimmed, the energy is low, and it's a bit of a downer.
Energy Shares

Best performing ASX 200 energy shares in a sector that lost its spark in 2024

The energy sector was the weakest of all 11 market sectors in 2024.

Read more »

Multiracial happy young people stacking hands outside - University students hugging in college campus - Youth community concept with guys and girls standing together supporting each other.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

The worst-performing market sector of 2024 was the best performer in the first week of 2025.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Energy Shares

Why Paladin Energy and these ASX uranium stocks are rocketing

It has been a great day for uranium investors on Friday. But why?

Read more »

A smiling miner wearing a high vis vest and yellow hardhat and working for Superior Resources does the thumbs up in front of an open pit copper mine, indicating positive news for the company's share price today following a significant copper discovery
Resources Shares

Why are ASX 200 mining shares going gangbusters on Friday?

Gold and uranium stocks are dominating the top 10 risers of the ASX 200 today.

Read more »