Here's the Rio Tinto dividend forecast through to 2024

Rio Tinto has been tipped to pay some big dividends…

| More on:
A female worker in a hard hat smiles in an oil field.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) share price has returned to form on Monday.

In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are up 2% to $103.48.

Despite this gain, the Rio Tinto share price remains down 25% from its 52-week high.

In light of this, income investors may be wondering what this share price weakness means for the Rio Tinto dividend in the coming years.

Where is the Rio Tinto dividend heading?

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts appear to believe FY 2021's US$10.40 per share fully franked dividend could be the near term peak. However, it is still expecting some very big yields from the mining giant.

For example, in FY 2022, the broker expects Rio Tinto's dividend to come in at a fully franked US$8.70 (A$12.55) per share. Based on the current Rio Tinto share price, this would mean a very generous fully franked 12.1% dividend yield for investors.

In FY 2023, the broker is forecasting a similarly big dividend from Australia's second largest miner. It has pencilled in a fully franked US$8.49 (A$12.25) per share dividend from the company. This represents an 11.8% yield for investors.

Finally, with Goldman expecting iron ore prices to weaken in FY 2024, it is forecasting a dividend cut to US$6.78 (A$9.78) per share. But despite this cut, this would still represent an above-average 9.5% dividend yield for investors.

Should investors buy Rio Tinto shares?

As well as big dividend yields, Goldman Sachs sees plenty of value in the Rio Tinto share price.

The note reveals that its analysts have a buy rating and $131.00 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of almost 27% for investors over the next 12 months.

Goldman commented: "Rio is a FCF story in our view, however, and we see the company returning to growth in 2022 & 2023 with a c. 3% and 5% increase in Cu Eq production."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

The sea's vastness is rivalled only by the refreshing feel of the drinks two friends share as they saunter along its edge, symbolising passive income.
Dividend Investing

Which ASX 200 bank stock pays the most passive income?

What’s the best ASX 200 bank to invest for passive income?

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Dividend Investing

Here's the ANZ dividend forecast through to 2027

It looks like we might have seen the peak for this bank's dividends.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Dividend Investing

Bell Potter names the best ASX dividend shares to buy in May

Bell Potter thinks these are among the best shares for income investors to buy right now.

Read more »

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.
Dividend Investing

Hoping to bank the next dividend from NAB shares? Better hurry…

NAB shares will pay an interim dividend of 85 cents per share next month.

Read more »

Person pressing the buy button on a smartphone.
Dividend Investing

I think these 2 ASX dividend shares are buys for income in May

These stocks have plenty going for them.

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Dividend Investing

Accelerate passive income: 2 LICs with dividend yields above 7%

With several rate cuts on the horizon, term deposits are starting to look less attractive.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Dividend Investing

Brokers name the ASX dividend stocks to buy now

These stocks have been given buy ratings by analysts. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Dividend Investing

Why is the Westpac share price falling for a fourth consecutive day?

The Westpac share price is down by more than 4% today.

Read more »