Why no news could be good news for the Altium share price

Altium has been quiet. Here's why this could be a good thing…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) share price is pushing higher on Tuesday.

In morning trade, the electronic design software company's shares are up 1.5% to $25.84.

Why is the Altium share price pushing higher?

As well as getting a boost from a rebounding share market, the Altium share price was given a lift from a broker note out of Bell Potter.

According to the note, the broker has reiterated its buy rating but cut its price target by 18% to $34.00.

Despite this cut, based on the current Altium share price, this suggests potential upside of over 31% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

With just nine days remaining in the current financial year, Bell Potter believes that "no news is good news" in respect to the company's guidance.

It commented:

Altium has undertaken various marketing initiatives this quarter which, while slightly different to years gone by, suggests the company is again targeting subscriber over revenue growth in H2. This is worth highlighting as Altium has provided both revenue and EBITDA margin guidance for FY22 – US$213-217m and lower end of 34-36% – so there is the potential that these initiatives put at least the revenue guidance at some risk.

We do not, however, believe this is the case as: 1. 1HFY22 revenue growth was strong; 2. Altium narrowed the revenue guidance range towards the upper end in late February knowing it would implement these marketing initiatives in Q4; 3. The strong momentum in Octopart in 1HFY22 is likely to continue into 2HFY22 and offset any weakness in China (due to lockdowns) and Russia (due to the war in Ukraine); and 4. No update has been provided to market.

In light of this, its analysts "believe the company is on track to achieve its FY22 guidance."

Why did Bell Potter cut its price target?

Bell Potter advised that it has cut its target on the Altium share price to $34.00 to reflect "a material decrease in the relative valuations."

Outside this, nothing else changes. It continues to forecast strong revenue and EBITDA growth through to FY 2024.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Altium. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Broker Notes

5 ASX shares scoring upgraded ratings this week

Experts have raised their ratings on JB Hi-Fi, Beach Energy, Amcor, and others this week.

Read more »

A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the share price.
Broker Notes

Down 65%: Is this ASX 300 stock a cheap buy?

This stock has been sold off. Has this created a buying opportunity? Let's see what Bell Potter is saying.

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Broker Notes

5 ASX All Ords shares downgraded by brokers this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on PLS Group, Fortescue, Webjet, and others this week.

Read more »

A man sits in contemplation on his sofa looking at his phone as though he has just heard some serious or interesting news.
Broker Notes

Does Ord Minnett rate Goodman shares as a buy, hold, or sell?

The broker has been looking at a big agreement signed this month.

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Westpac shares

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on Westpac shares.

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Minerals 260, 4DMedical, Karoon Energy shares

Two experts share their latest ratings and opinions on three ASX shares.

Read more »

Two mining workers in orange high vis vests walk and talk at a mining site.
Resources Shares

Morgans tips 1 ASX mining share to rip — and 1 to avoid — in 2026

Morgans has revised its ratings on an ASX 200 lithium share and an ASX 200 gold stock.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Broker Notes

What is Morgans saying about Stanmore Resources and Suncorp shares after results?

Are these shares a buy, hold, or sell?

Read more »