NextDC share price tipped to rise 30%: Broker says high energy prices an 'opportunity'

NextDC's shares are in the buy zone according to Morgans…

| More on:
Three analysts look at tech options on a wall screen

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The NextDC Ltd (ASX: NXT) share price has come under pressure in 2022.

Since the start of the year, the data centre operator's shares are down 21%.

This has been driven by weakness in the tech sector and concerns over its exposure to rising energy prices.

Is the NextDC share price weakness a buying opportunity?

According to a note out of Morgans, its analysts believe the NextDC share price is trading at a very attractive level.

This morning its analysts have retained their add rating but trimmed their price target on its shares to $13.01.

Based on the current NextDC share price of $10.09, this implies potential upside of 29% for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

Morgans has been looking into what impact rising energy prices would have on NextDC's operations. The good news is that it doesn't expect any material impacts. It explained:

NXT typically contracts energy rates annually. We estimate that ~80% of FY23 power costs get passed straight through to its wholesale customers. The remaining ~20% is enterprise and subject to annual price reviews which are typically the greater of CPI or 2.5%. Enterprise contracts also allow NXT to pass on material structural changes in energy prices (which it has done once in the last decade).

The broker also sees rising energy prices as an "opportunity" for NextDC. This is due to the company being independently certified as the only Australian data centre provider with a NABERS 5-star rating for energy efficiency. It was also certified with PUE of 1.4 in FY 2021, which is well below the Australian industry average of 1.7.

Morgans feels that this efficiency could be attractive to prospective customers. It commented:

This means NXT is >50% more energy efficient than peers and much more energy efficient than on-premise. Customers looking to save money due to rising energy prices may well fast-track their migration to NXT.

Overall, its analysts "see upside risk to FY23 consensus revenue and are comfortable with EBITDA."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in NEXTDC Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Three women laughing and enjoying their gambling winnings while sitting at a poker machine.
Broker Notes

Up 39% in a year, what's Macquarie's price target on Aristocrat Leisure shares now?

Macquarie rates the $44 billion ASX 200 gaming technology company as an outperform. But why?

Read more »

A female stockbroker reviews share price performance in her office with the city shown in the background through her windows
Broker Notes

Is Centuria Industrial REIT a buy, hold or sell according to Macquarie?

The business announced its FY25 result on Wednesday.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Down 33%: Does Macquarie rate Treasury Wine Estates shares a buy, hold or sell?

Is the broker bullish or bearish, or something in between?

Read more »

Two men and a woman sitting in a subway train side by side, reading newspapers.
Broker Notes

After reviewing its result, how much upside does Macquarie project for News Corp shares?

News Corp released its FY 2025 results yesterday morning.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Morgans names 3 ASX shares to buy now

These shares are highly rated by the broker.

Read more »

navy ship sailing at dusk
Broker Notes

After jumping 15% this week, are Austal shares a buy, hold or sell according to Macquarie?

Austal shares jumped 15% this week on a major defence deal and earnings upgrade.

Read more »

A man rests his chin in his hands, pondering what is the answer?
Broker Notes

Boss Energy, Macquarie, and Newmont shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

What does Ord Minnett think of these ASX 200 shares? Let's find out.

Read more »

Two couples having fun racing electric dodgem cars around a track
Broker Notes

4 ASX All Ords automotive stocks to buy today: expert

The broker expects a robust outlook for the automotive sector.

Read more »