Is it too late to buy ASX lithium shares?

An expert gives his thoughts on the future of demand for the battery ingredient, and names one ASX lithium share he's buying at the moment.

| More on:
a woman smiles as she checks her phone in one hand with a takeaway coffee in the other as she charges her electric vehicle at a charging station.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Some investors have done pretty well out of ASX lithium shares in recent years as the element saw rising demand from battery and electric car makers.

However, those stocks have fallen somewhat in recent weeks as lithium prices have topped out.

So the big question from those who haven't yet jumped on the bandwagon is: Is it too late? Is the current dip a buying opportunity, or has the peak passed?

Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish gave his thoughts recently on whether it's still a good idea to buy into these companies.

Lithium can't be substituted easily 

Regardless of the short-term dip, lithium demand is here to stay, according to Gerrish.

"Lithium ties into the electrification thematic that is taking over the globe," he said in a Market Matters Q&A.

"The reason for the hype is [that] lithium has unique characteristics that are difficult to replicate. It is a light metal but is able to store large amounts of energy and is an excellent conductor of electricity."

Gerrish added that while other battery minerals can be substituted with other ingredients, lithium demand is "relatively immune to these risks".

"Demand for lithium has grown at [approximately] 20% compound annual growth rates through 2017 to 2022 and we think that will continue, while lithium deposits that are technically and economically viable to exploit are rare," he said.

"This all paints a positive backdrop for the sector, and particularly the higher quality hard rock producers in Australia — the question comes down to timing."

Which is the ASX share to buy to jump on the lithium bandwagon?

So if you were to become a new ASX lithium share investor right now, which is the stock Gerrish would buy?

"We recently bought IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO), which is highly correlated to fellow battery metal stocks on the ASX," he said.

"We like IGO given it also has a very solid nickel business that has been [expanded] through the sensible purchase of Western Areas (WSA)."

The IGO share price is down around 20% since its last peak on 4 April.

Gerrish's team still likes the other two major producers, Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) and Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE), but they're "a crowded play" as with many other green-themed stocks at the moment.

"For that reason we have left room to average our IGO position into weakness," he said.

"We are also contemplating adding Pilbara or buying Allkem in the Emerging Companies Portfolio using the same philosophy."

For comparison, Pilbara shares have plunged 35% since 4 April, while the Allkem stock price has also headed south 14% over that period.

Wondering where you should invest $1,000 right now?

When investing expert Scott Phillips has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, the flagship Motley Fool Share Advisor newsletter he has run for over ten years has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

Scott just revealed what he believes could be the 'five best ASX stocks' for investors to buy right now. We believe these stocks are trading at attractive prices and Scott thinks they could be great buys right now...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 3 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

What does Macquarie think BHP shares are worth?

Is now a good time to buy the miner's shares? Let's find out.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Materials Shares

What does Macquarie think Pilbara Minerals shares are worth?

Is this lithium miner dirt cheap? Let's find out.

Read more »

Two miners standing together.
Materials Shares

Is it time to buy this beaten down lithium share?

This diversified miner’s share price has been hit on multiple fronts. What does it mean for investors?

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Pilbara Minerals share price falls on 30% quarterly revenue slump

ASX investors are bidding down Pilbara Minerals shares on Thursday. Here’s why.

Read more »

Two miners standing together with a smile on their faces.
Materials Shares

BHP share price higher on third-quarter update

Let's see what the mining giant reported this morning.

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.
Materials Shares

5 reasons to buy Rio Tinto shares right now

Now could be a good time to buy this mining giant's shares according to one broker.

Read more »

A man checks his phone next to an electric vehicle charging station with his electric vehicle parked in the charging bay.
Materials Shares

3 top ASX lithium shares to buy after the market selloff

These lithium stocks could be cheap buys according to analysts at Bell Potter.

Read more »

Two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Does Macquarie currently prefer Rio or BHP shares?

Which of Australia's biggest miners is a buy for investors this week? Let's find out.

Read more »