Can Terra's Luna 2.0 avoid another 'death spiral'

Luna had a market cap of some US$28 billion before it collapsed last month.

| More on:
A woman looks in anticipation at her laptop, watching eagerly.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Today marks one month since the cracks appeared in Terra’s UST and Luna tokens 
  • The original Luna token, now Terra Classic, is worth a tiny fraction of its value last month 
  • The launch of Luna 2.0 is not going entirely according to investor hopes 

One month ago today, on 6 May, the first cracks began to emerge in Terra's stablecoin, TerraUSD (CRYPTO: UST), and the token that was meant to help it remain pegged to US$1, Terra (CRYPTO: LUNA).

At the time the algorithmic stablecoin, UST, was among the leading tokens pegged to the US dollar. And Luna had a market cap of some US$28 billion.

By 12 May the collapse of the tokens and the blockchain that supports them was well underway. UST was down 70% and Luna had dropped 97%.

With the cryptos entering what's called a 'death spiral' as crucial investor confidence evaporated, things only got worse from there.

Unable to rescue the original tokens, Terra co-founder Do Kwon and his supporters have pressed through with the launch of a new Terra blockchain, supported by two new tokens.

Namely TerraClassicUSD (CRYPTO: USTC) and Luna 2.0 which is called, well, Terra (CRYPTO: LUNA). Rather than rebrand the new Luna 2.0, the company changed the name of the original to Terra Classic (CRYPTO: LUNC).

UST itself is no more, and its blockchain has been officially halted. As for LUNC? It's gone from US$86 this time last month to 0.0081 US cents.

Can Terra's Luna 2.0 avoid another 'death spiral'

As part of the rescue plan, Terra 'airdropped' the new Luna tokens to existing holders.

But according to Thomas Dunleavy, senior analyst at crypto research firm Messari (quoted by Bloomberg):

The airdrop was really poorly structured. It rewarded equity holders – LUNA holders – over savers or bond holders – Anchor depositors or UST holders. Any network in crypto is built on trust, by not only users but also builders who commit their time and capital to grow the network.

So, can Terra's Luna 2.0 avoid a repeat of what happened to 1.0?

Time will tell.

But it's not off to a great start.

According to data from CoinMarketCap, the Terra Luna 2.0 price currently stands at US$5.11. That's down 74% from the US$19.54 the token was worth on 28 May.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns and has recommended Terra. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips. 

More on Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin coin with a rising arrow.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price smashes new record highs as market value tops US$2.1 trillion

Bitcoin just soared to new all-time highs. But why?

Read more »

a businessman rips open his shirt superman style to reveal the bitcoin logo on a superhero style lycra suit under his clothes.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price reclaims US$100,000 after AMP reveals an investment

A rising Bitcoin price could validate AMP’s recent investment decision.

Read more »

person dancing in bitcoin spectacles wearing a gold outfit with hands up.
Cryptocurrencies

Why Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin just popped again

Here's what gave investors confidence...

Read more »

Woman looks amazed and shocked as she looks at her laptop.
Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin price blasts past US$100,000 milestone before an unexpected move

Boom! The Bitcoin price just smashed through the US$100,000 mark.

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop with hand on chin thinking about question, pensive expression.
Cryptocurrencies

Could this be the day the Bitcoin price cracks $100,000?

It's come awfully close at certain points during the past few weeks.

Read more »

ETF on white blocks with a rising arrow on top of coin piles.
ETFs

This ASX ETF is up 30% in a month. Too late to buy?

This ETF's gains have been nothing short of extraordinary.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists with glee having seen the share price go up on the computer screen in front of him.
Cryptocurrencies

Why did the Bitcoin price just rocket to another all-time high?

At new record highs, Bitcoin now has a market cap of almost US$1.8 trillion.

Read more »

Bitcoin coin with a rising arrow.
Cryptocurrencies

Why cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are shooting for the moon today

Crypto investors just sent the Bitcoin price to new all-time highs. But why?

Read more »