What's the outlook for ASX 200 dividend shares in the second half of 2022?

And which ASX dividend stocks are the best payers?

| More on:
A man happily kisses a $50 note scrunched up in his hands representing the best ASX dividend stocks in Australia today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Just five ASX 200 dividend shares accounted for nearly two-thirds of the total dividends paid to Australian investors in the year ending 31 March 
  • Additionally, the five stocks – BHP, Rio Tinto, Fortescue, CBA, and Westpac – are all housed in either the banking or resources sectors
  • Janus Henderson expects continuing dividend growth from both sectors in the second half of 2022

Owners of ASX 200 dividend shares likely saw their payments cut during the COVID-19 pandemic. But they've also seen their shares go through one of the most impressive recoveries in the world.

And now, ASX 200 dividends could reach record levels in 2022. According to a new report, the second half of this year has the potential to be astronomical for dividend payments.

Australian shareholders may be handed more than $100 billion in dividends this year, according to the latest Global Dividend Index report from Janus Henderson Group (ASX: JHG).

Let's take a closer look at the best ASX dividend stocks highlighted by the fund manager. These are the companies that Janus Henderson thinks are likely to continue doling out strong dividends.

Which ASX 200 shares could keep boosting their dividends?

ASX 200 shares could lead the way for Australia to post a record-breaking year of dividends in 2022. That's despite the nation's payouts plummeting during the pandemic.

The fund manager found Australia's dividends slumped a whopping 37.3% during the height of COVID-19 while the rest of the world's dipped just 16.7%.

But the reasons behind the ASX's dividend dump also boosted payouts to a record high over the 12 months ended 31 March. Over the period, ASX companies handed investors $97.9 billion in dividends.

So which sectors have been driving this upwards trend? Perhaps unsurprisingly, higher commodity prices saw ASX 200 mining shares highlighted as some of Australia's biggest and best dividend stocks.

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) was the world's biggest dividend payer in the March quarter. It accounted for 32% of all dividends handed to ASX investors at that time. Fortescue Metals Group Limited (ASX: FMG) and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) were also among Australia's best ASX dividend providers.

The fund manager expects miners' dividends to continue growing over the rest of 2022. However, it warns that volatile commodity prices make its outlook less certain.

ASX 200 bank shares are also behind much of Australia's dividends. They're also expected to stay on track in the second half.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) delivered the third-biggest dividend payout of the year ending March 31. Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) paid the fifth-highest dividend.

Interestingly, CBA, Rio, Fortescue, BHP, and Westpac accounted for nearly two-thirds of all ASX dividends over the year to March. That's likely welcome news to those invested in the ASX 200 quintet.

However, the fund manager warned that this leaves shareholders dependant on fewer dividend stocks. This makes them vulnerable to difficulties that could cause big dividend-paying companies to cut their payouts.

Either company-specific events or broader catastrophes like pandemics or market crashes could see Australia lose a significant portion of its dividends in one swipe due to this high level of concentration.

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

These blue chip ASX 200 dividend stocks offer 5% yields

Brokers think these blue chips would be top options for income investors. But why?

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Dividend Investing

2 ASX dividend shares I'd buy for high yields

These stocks offer investors the potential of a lot of passive income.

Read more »

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Dividend Investing

These 200 ASX dividend shares could be top buys for passive income

Analysts have good things to say about these income options.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Dividend Investing

Buy Woodside and this high-yield ASX dividend share next week

Analysts think big yields could be on the cards for owners of these stocks.

Read more »

Mini house on a laptop.
Dividend Investing

Do ASX 200 dividend shares out-earn Aussie property?

We compare the forecast FY25 dividend yields of the top 10 ASX 200 companies to rental property yields.

Read more »

Humorous child with homemade money-making machine.
How to invest

How I'd fill an empty ASX share portfolio to build a $500 monthly passive income machine

Building an ASX passive income portfolio simpler than you may think.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares for 16% to 55% total returns

Analysts think income investors should be buying these dividend shares right now.

Read more »

Blue chip in a trolley with a man pushing it.
Dividend Investing

3 blue-chip alternatives to CBA shares for MORE passive income

These blue-chip stocks look like appealing dividend picks.

Read more »