Low on milk? Fear not, here's why Citi is bullish on the A2 Milk share price

US market entry has been a goal for the company for many years.

| More on:
smiling child drinking milk from a glass, A2 milk share price rise, increase, up, A2 sales to china

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • A2 Milk could have an enormous opportunity on its hands should it successfully enter the US, analysts at Citi say
  • They reckon any capture of market share would be accretive to the company's operating income
  • In the last 12 months the A2 Milk share price has fallen 17%

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price has been on a tumultuous ride these past 12 months, sliding 17% in that time.

Downward trends have prevailed this year to date as well with the dairy nutrition company's shares down by 19%.

But one broker is taking a glass-half-full approach to the future of A2 Milk.

TradingView Chart

Broker weighs in on A2 Milk share price

Purveyors of infant formula in the US have been biting their nails since February after one of the largest domestic manufacturers made large recalls on its product line.

Abbott Laboratories was forced to immediately shut a manufacturing facility after it discovered bacteria on the site, while simultaneously recalling shelved product and inventory from the market.

The result has been a dramatic wind back in the domestic production of infant formula in the US, resulting in a dislocation between demand and supply.

For these reasons analysts at investment bank Citi are flagging a potential entry into the US market for A2 Milk – something the company has been trying to secure for years.

Previously, Citi says, the US infant formula market has been ring-fenced from outside entrants such as A2 Milk, but that could all be set to change amid the latest challenges.

In a recent note, Citi analysts covered both BUBS Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) and A2 Milk and reckon both are well positioned to take on a US entry.

As a result, the investment bank revised its targets upwards for the A2 Milk share price, lifting its rating from a sell to neutral in the process.

With that, it values the company at $4.64 per share, well behind the consensus price target of $5.83 apiece, according to Bloomberg data.

From this list of analysts, per Bloomberg, roughly 27% say to buy A2 Milk, whereas 60% say it's a hold right now. The remaining coverage urges clients to sell their positions in the company.

At the time of writing, the A2 Milk share price is down 0.68% today at $4.38.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk and BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% and 50% in 2025

Analysts are tipping these shares to beat the market this year. Let's see why.

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Broker Notes

More of the best ASX stocks to buy in 2025 according to Bell Potter

Let's see why its analysts are so bullish on these stocks this year.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says these ASX 200 shares are buys

Let's see what the broker is saying about these big names.

Read more »

group of friends jump on the beach
Broker Notes

6 ASX All Ords shares lifted to 'strong buy' consensus ratings for the new year

Brokers upgraded these ASX stocks last month.

Read more »

Broker Notes

Why these ASX 200 stocks could be strong buys in January

Let's see why analysts are bullish on these stocks and are tipping them as buys in January.

Read more »

a man clasps his hand to his forehead as he looks down at his phone and grimaces with a pained expression on his face as he watches the Pilbara Minerals share price continue to fall
Broker Notes

Down 50% and 70%: Why these ASX 200 shares could be cheap buys

Although the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has been trading within sight of a record high, the same cannot be said…

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these stocks.

Read more »