Low on milk? Fear not, here's why Citi is bullish on the A2 Milk share price

US market entry has been a goal for the company for many years.

| More on:
smiling child drinking milk from a glass, A2 milk share price rise, increase, up, A2 sales to china

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • A2 Milk could have an enormous opportunity on its hands should it successfully enter the US, analysts at Citi say
  • They reckon any capture of market share would be accretive to the company's operating income
  • In the last 12 months the A2 Milk share price has fallen 17%

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price has been on a tumultuous ride these past 12 months, sliding 17% in that time.

Downward trends have prevailed this year to date as well with the dairy nutrition company's shares down by 19%.

But one broker is taking a glass-half-full approach to the future of A2 Milk.

TradingView Chart

Broker weighs in on A2 Milk share price

Purveyors of infant formula in the US have been biting their nails since February after one of the largest domestic manufacturers made large recalls on its product line.

Abbott Laboratories was forced to immediately shut a manufacturing facility after it discovered bacteria on the site, while simultaneously recalling shelved product and inventory from the market.

The result has been a dramatic wind back in the domestic production of infant formula in the US, resulting in a dislocation between demand and supply.

For these reasons analysts at investment bank Citi are flagging a potential entry into the US market for A2 Milk – something the company has been trying to secure for years.

Previously, Citi says, the US infant formula market has been ring-fenced from outside entrants such as A2 Milk, but that could all be set to change amid the latest challenges.

In a recent note, Citi analysts covered both BUBS Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) and A2 Milk and reckon both are well positioned to take on a US entry.

As a result, the investment bank revised its targets upwards for the A2 Milk share price, lifting its rating from a sell to neutral in the process.

With that, it values the company at $4.64 per share, well behind the consensus price target of $5.83 apiece, according to Bloomberg data.

From this list of analysts, per Bloomberg, roughly 27% say to buy A2 Milk, whereas 60% say it's a hold right now. The remaining coverage urges clients to sell their positions in the company.

At the time of writing, the A2 Milk share price is down 0.68% today at $4.38.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended A2 Milk and BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A happy young couple lie on a wooden deck using a skateboard for a pillow.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter says this growing ASX 200 stock can rise over 40%

Big returns could be on the cards for buyers of this stock.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Resources Shares

Up 23% today, why Macquarie forecasts this ASX 200 mining stock could rocket another 33%

Macquarie forecasts more outsized gains to come for this surging ASX 200 mining stock.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Bank Shares

ASX banking sector: Is it time to consider a regional bank?

The big 4 banks are widely considered to be overvalued.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 20% to 60%

Analysts think these shares are top buys and could rise materially.

Read more »

A share market analyst looks at his computer screen in front of him showing ASX share price movements
Broker Notes

'Materially undervalued': Brokers name 3 ASX shares ripe for investment

Looking for some FY26 investment inspiration?

Read more »

Happy friends at a party enjoying pizza, symbolising the Domino's share price.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell Domino's Pizza shares after shock CEO exit? Here's what the experts say

The Domino's share price has been recovering after losing a quarter of its value last Wednesday.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Broker Notes

Does Macquarie prefer Rio Tinto, Fortescue or BHP shares heading into 2026?

BHP, Rio Tinto, or Fortescue? Macquarie only expects one of the three ASX mining stocks to outperform.

Read more »