ASX shares are tumbling, but is it an actual stock market crash?

Here's what a market crash is and the lowdown on whether the ASX is experiencing one.

| More on:
a man weraing a suit sits nervously at his laptop computer biting into his clenched hand with nerves, and perhaps fear.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The ASX 200 has tumbled more than 8% from its most recent high, but that doesn't indicate a market crash
  • Generally, a stock market crash is declared following a fall of more than 20% over a period of days, weeks, or sometimes months
  • While the ASX 200 looks relatively safe now, markets in the US are inching closer to 'crash' territory

Australia's economic position has experienced a notable shift over last few weeks and the nation's stock market appears to have shifted in turn. Understandably, many of those invested in ASX shares are likely worried the recent downturn could spell a stock market crash.

Rest assured, the ASX doesn't appear to be 'crashing' right now. Though, it's not off the cards.

Let's look at what a stock market crash is and how far away the ASX might be from experiencing one.

Is this the beginning of an ASX stock market crash?

The exact definition of a stock market crash is subjective. Though, the consensus appears to be that ASX shares must tumble more than 20% over a short period of time for a stock market crash to be declared.

While the market has displayed plenty of volatility this year, it hasn't quite reached 'crash' levels.

The ASX experienced a correction earlier this year. The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dropped 9.9% between 4 January and 27 January ­– a plunge lasting slightly more than three weeks.

The tumble came amid concerns of rising inflation and resulting interest rate hikes – fears which have recently been realised.

Australia saw the inflation rate surpass 5% late last month and the Reserve Bank of Australia increased interest rates for the first time in more than a decade last week.

However, the ASX 200 is currently only 8.43% lower than the near-all-time high it reached on 21 April.

Worryingly, it's not such a pretty picture overseas. As many market watchers will know, ASX shares tend to move in line with their US-based counterparts – and those counterparts are struggling.

The S&P 500 (SP: .INX) is now nearly 14% lower than its March high. Its latest tumble appears to have been driven by the US Federal Reserve's recent decision to hike interest rates once more.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQ: .IXIC) is now officially in stock market crash territory. It's plummeted 20.5% from the high it recorded six weeks ago.

The tech-heavy index fell more than 4% while most of Australia slept through the US's Monday session.

Perhaps in reaction, the ASX 200 is in the red on Tuesday, slumping 1.9% at the time of writing. But not all is lost.

Here at The Motley Fool Australia, we like to take a 'glass half full' approach.

As our chief investment officer Scott Phillips said during January's correction: "The ASX has never yet failed to regain, and then surpass, its previous highs … I have a high degree of confidence that history will be a good guide."

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Broker Notes

Invest $1,000 into Pilbara Minerals and these ASX 200 stocks

Analysts have named these shares as top picks for a $1,000 investment. Let's see why.

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
Opinions

Want to start investing in ASX shares? Here's what I'd buy

This is where I’d begin to put my money in the stock market.

Read more »

A female ASX investor looks through a magnifying glass that enlarges her eye and holds her hand to her face with her mouth open as if looking at something of great interest or surprise.
Broker Notes

3 of the best ASX 200 shares to buy in 2025

Let's see why analysts at Bell Potter are bullish on these shares next year.

Read more »

People of different ethnicities in a room taking a big selfie, symbolising diversification.
Opinions

Want diversification? Get it instantly with these ASX 200 shares

Some businesses offer a lot more diversification than others.

Read more »

A happy man and woman on a computer at Christmas, indicating a positive trend for retail shares.
Opinions

2 ASX 200 shares I'd want to receive as a present today

Merry Christmas! Are there any stocks under your tree?

Read more »

a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Share Gainers

Why Avita Medical, GenusPlus, Mesoblast, and Polynovo shares are storming higher

These shares are having a better day than most today. But why?

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Share Fallers

Why Charter Hall Retail, DroneShield, FBR, and St Barbara shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a tough time on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these stocks.

Read more »