Is the IGO share price cheap after dropping 9% in a week?

We check what analysts say about the miner.

| More on:
A man wearing a hard hat stands in front of heavy mining machinery with a serious look on his face.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • IGO shares have retreated in the last few weeks in line with the broader metals and mining sector
  • But brokers remain fairly constructive on the company and most coverage rates it a buy
  • With the recent pullback, IGO is now trading below the consensus valuation on its share price

The IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO) share price has slipped 6% in Tuesday's session and is $12.755 at the time of writing.

After climbing amid a global resources boom in 2022, the IGO share price has fallen from a high of $14.17 just five days ago.

Joining IGO is the S&P/ASX 300 Metals & Mining Index (ASX: XMM). It's also slipped 5.35% in today's session and 11% this past week. IGO is down 9% over the same period

TradingView Chart

Is the IGO share price cheap?

The rally in commodities, plus IGO's recent bid to secure Western Areas Ltd (ASX: WSA), has seen some volatility in the IGO share price in recent weeks.

After the miner sweetened its takeover offer to $3.87 a share, up from an earlier $3.36, analysts at RBC Capital Markets noted they saw "strategic rationale" in the decision.

In a recent note, RBC Capital analyst Kaan Peker noted "there is strategic rationale with consolidating Western Australia nickel sulphide producers".

Peker reckons the offer – that values Western Areas at nine times next year's earnings before interest, tax and amortisation (EBITDA) projections – could be accretive for IGO's own pre-tax earnings as early as FY22.

Meanwhile, analysts at JP Morgan recently retained their overweight rating on IGO and value the company at $17.40 per share.

"IGO [is] a one-stop stock for EV raw materials," the broker mentioned in a recent note. "Our overweight rating reflects the upside relative to our DCF valuation, high earnings growth and growing FCF yield."

Earlier, the broker had mentioned IGO was well-positioned to take on the Western Areas acquisition, finishing 1H FY22 with $570 million in cash on its balance sheet.

JP Morgan also took note of IGO's latest earnings that showed capital expenditures (capex) guidance for FY22 is high at $250-$300 million. That's more than three times what the broker was budgeting.

"Management called out a number of projects to enable further expansions, but the spend is not on the CGP3/4/5 expansions themselves," the broker wrote on IGO's capex guidance.

"[The Greenbushes mine] costs of $388/tonne included royalties of $146/tonne, which when backed out showed costs were steady [quarter-on-quarter]."

The consensus of analyst estimates values IGO at $13.25 a share, according to Bloomberg data. Judging from that valuation, and depending on one's own valuation, IGO could be cheap with the pullback.

From the list of broker coverage, 53% rate it a buy whereas 30% say it's a hold right now. Together, that's 83% saying to either buy or hold onto IGO shares at present.

IGO share price snapshot

In the last 12 months, the IGO share price has climbed 77% and is up 11% for the year, even with this most recent pullback.

The company has a market capitalisation of $9.6 billion at the current share price.

Should you invest $1,000 in Allkem right now?

Before you buy Allkem shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Allkem wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices.
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips 20% upside for this ASX 200 industrials stock

Let's see what the broker is saying about this stock following an update.

Read more »

A young woman lifts her red glasses with one hand as she takes a closer look at news about interest rates rising and one expert's surprising recommendation as to which ASX shares to buy
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Mum playing with her baby boy holding him on her tummy as she lays down while smiling about the Bubs share price going up today
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips 80% upside for this ASX All Ords healthcare stock

This out of favour stock could be primed for a rebound.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

Macquarie tips 40% upside for this ASX 200 real estate stock

Let's see what the broker is saying about this stock.

Read more »

Woman sits at her desk working at night, while traffic flows on a busy freeway out the window behind her.
Broker Notes

Transurban shares: Buy, hold, sell? Here's Macquarie's recommendation

Macquarie’s analysts just ran their slide rules over Transurban shares. Here’s what they found.

Read more »

A woman sits at her home computer with baby on her lap, and the winning ticket in her hand.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Which 'enduring high-quality business' has become a forgotten ASX 200 stock?

Fundie says this ASX 200 consumer discretionary stock has been flying under investors' radar.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Financial Shares

Want a financial stock outside the big 4 banks? Macquarie tips 15% upside for this small cap financial

For those searching on the edges, this name could be worth a second look according to Macquarie.

Read more »

Copal miner standing in front of coal.
Resources Shares

How much upside does Macquarie tip for New Hope shares?

A softer-than-expected quarter has impacted the broker's view.

Read more »