Why this broker tips the Macquarie share price to clip $227 this year

Sentiment has remained positive on Macquarie amid recent volatility.

| More on:
Two brokers analysing stocks.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Macquarie shares have clawed back gains in recent months to drive through market volatility 
  • One broker is positive on the bank and tips its share price to rise another 10% this year 
  • In the last 12 months, the Macquarie share price has climbed 32% 

Shares in Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) have leapt higher in recent weeks to trade at $206.67 before the open on Thursday.

After a rough period of volatility, the investment bank has clawed back gains and is now tracking towards its 52-week high of $215.

TradingView Chart

Can Macquarie's share price run higher?

One broker has priced in roughly 10% more upside for Macquarie shares this year. JP Morgan values the bank at $227 per share, after revising its price target up from $223 per share in a recent note.

"[Macquarie's] guidance for commodities income to be "significantly up on FY21" was given prior to the recent spike in energy prices," the broker shared.

"Since then, international events have contributed to much higher natural gas price volatility, which should provide strong support to trading income."

As such it now projects the bank's commodities income to spike 27% in FY22 to $3.4 billion, with a slight drop to $2.6 billion the following year.

All-in-all, the broker tips FY22 to be a bolster year for Macquarie, locking in tidy profits if all goes according to plan.

Recent acquisitions and structural demand for alternative investments are also catalysts for Macquarie's various operating segments, it says.

"Growth should be supported by significant deployment of capital into all operating divisions given a healthy capital surplus," analysts added.

"We still see modest upside to our valuation, particularly given our forecast of >15% Return on Equity (ROE) in FY22-24'".

At $227 per share JP Morgan's valuation rests above the consensus price target for Macquarie of $220.54, but Jefferies and Morgan Stanley both value the bank at $245 per share, according to Bloomberg data.

In the last 12 months, the Macquarie share price has climbed 32% and is up 6% this past month.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Two smiling work colleagues discuss an investment or business plan at their office.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares.

Read more »

Two brokers analysing stocks.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 stock is a buy with 25%+ upside

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this name right now.

Read more »

Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.
Broker Notes

Why this cheap ASX All Ords stock could rise 50% and pay an 11% dividend yield

Goldman Sachs thinks that big returns could be coming for buyers of this stock.

Read more »

Woman using a pen on a digital stock market chart in an office.
Broker Notes

CSL stock: Buy, hold, or sell in 2025?

Let's see what analysts are saying about this blue chip giant at the start of the year.

Read more »

a woman holds a facebook like thumbs up sign high above her head. She has a very happy smile on her face.
Broker Notes

Goldman Sachs says this ASX 200 stock is a top buy in January

The broker is forecasting some big returns for investors this year.

Read more »

A man working in the stock exchange.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys right now.

Read more »

A group of businesspeople clapping.
Broker Notes

2 of the best ASX 200 shares to buy in the Asia-Pacific

Goldman Sachs is speaking very highly about these stocks this month.

Read more »

Excited group of friends sitting on sofa watching sports on TV and celebrating.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares just upgraded for 2025 by top brokers

Leading brokers are forecasting strong performance in 2025 from these four ASX 200 companies.

Read more »