This forgotten battery metal 'looks like lithium 3 to 5 years ago': analysts

Let's check the outlook for graphite.

| More on:
a woman holds a cup to her ear and leans in with a wide mouthed expression on her face as though she is listening to interesting and perhaps surprising information.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Analysts are predicting graphite could take off 
  • One analyst is forecasting graphite supply will fall 32% short by 2025 
  • One ASX graphite share gained more than 10% on Wednesday

Analysts are predicting a supply shortage of graphite amid the electric vehicle (EV) boom.

One ASX graphite share that surged today was Black Rock Mining Ltd (ASX: BKT). The company's share price soared 16% to 33 cents late in the session before closing at 31.5 cents, 10.53% higher.

Other ASX graphite shares include Syrah Resources Ltd (ASX: SYR) and Evolution Energy Minerals (ASX: EV1). The Syrah share price climbed 1.39% today while Evolution Energy closed up 6.1%, after shooting almost 16% higher at one stage.

So could ASX graphite shares be next in line for a boom like lithium shares?

Could graphite surge like lithium?

Analysts at Credit Suisse are predicting graphite prices to surge within the next five years, just like lithium. Graphite is another essential component of EV batteries.

In comments reported by The Age, analyst Phineas Glover said:

It looks a lot more like lithium three to five years ago.

In five years' time, suddenly graphite pricing will have gone up in my view quite significantly, and it will bring a huge incentive to bring all these projects on board.

Glover predicts supply will fall 32% short by 2025 with demand for graphite to increase fivefold in 2050.

Certainly, Black Rock's chief executive John de Vries also foresees a positive future for graphite. He told The Age:

I genuinely think the world got lithium, and the next thing that's going to come will be the conversation around 'we forgot about graphite'.

Black Rock is currently exploring the Mahenge graphite project in Tanzania in east Africa.

Share price recap

The Black Rock Mining share price has rocketed 121% in a year. Meanwhile, the Evolution Energy Minerals share price has surged 122% over the past year, while Syrah Resources has charged 74% higher.

In contrast, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has returned about 8% in a year.

The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Materials Shares

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are ASX lithium shares prime real estate for value hunters?

Can these stocks recharge returns for investors?

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy for its lithium plans?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about the mining giant.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 300 lithium stock is rocketing 20% on huge Volkswagen news

Not all shares are being dragged lower by the market today.

Read more »

Dollar sign in yellow with a red falling arrow in front of a graph, symbolising a falling share price.
Materials Shares

Ouch: The Pilbara Minerals share price just hit a multi-year low

It's been a tough day for lithium investors.

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Materials Shares

Big ASX news: CEO buys 2.5 million Sayona Mining shares

This CEO has finally made a big share purchase.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Own BHP, BlueScope, Rio Tinto, and Woodside shares? Here's why they are teaming up

These companies are teaming up on an important project. What is it?

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Materials Shares

Will 2025 be a better year for the Core Lithium share price?

Will this lithium miner return to form next year? Let's find out.

Read more »

a group of enthusiastic people dash out of open doors as though in a hurry to purchase something. The picture features the legs of some people, faces of others and people in the background trying to get through the crowd.
Materials Shares

3 directors are buying this beaten-up ASX mining stock

This ASX mining stock has fallen by 23% in 2024. But Goldman Sachs is tipping huge upside over the next…

Read more »