What sent ASX mining shares flaming higher in March?

Take a look…

A graph ablaze with fire going up, indicating a fired up and surged share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ASX mining shares have surged hard in 2022 and are now a leading sector in the Australian secondaries 
  • Geopolitical tensions and hot-running commodity markets continue to drive inflows into ASX mining and resource shares in 2022 
  • The upside could continue well into 2022, analysts say 

The ASX mining basket has outstripped its peers in 2022 and is now the leading sector this year to date.

Whilst other domains like financials have crept up in recent weeks, Australian resources players are surging to new heights as underlying markets roar.

The spillover is set to produce hefty free cash flow yields and potentially record dividends and/or buybacks for ASX miners and their shareholders, analysts say.

Compared to ASX large-caps, small-caps, and the wider market, the mining sector has given investors outsized returns in March and over the last 12 months (shown below).

TradingView Chart

What's the situation?

The S&P/ASX 300 Metals & Mining Index (ASX: XMM) has surged more than 18% this year and is now up another 6% for the previous month.

Most of the upside in March was underscored by roaring commodity markets that have continued to surpass all expectations.

Iron ore has averaged US$118 per tonne so far in 2022, down from US$140 a year prior, whereas metallurgical coal earnings have been revised up to A$65 billion in 2022, according to Bloomberg data.

Prices are expected to average $348 per tonne before levelling off to $151 in 2027, Bloomberg forecasts show.

Not only that, but LNG exports are tipped to "more than double to A$70 billion in fiscal 2022, with spot prices likely to remain high for some time", it reports.

Meanwhile, nickel prices have also shot north and are expected to fetch US$33,217 per tonne as the US opens on Monday.

Heavy bullishness on the commodity sector has resulted in global mining baskets surging to record heights in 2022.

With that, Australia is set to be a net benefactor, according to analysis from Bloomberg.

"Australia stands to gain from a surge in energy prices on prospects that the war in Europe will exacerbate global oil and gas shortages as nations shun supplies from Russia," it reported.

"Exports are expected to hit a record $425 billion in the year to June 30 2022 – revised up by 12% from the December estimate – before dropping to $381 billion in the following 12 months on account of falling prices amid waning demand growth and elevated global output," it added.

What ASX mining shares are surging?

Resource stocks have surged hard in 2022 on the back of this underlying market activity.

In the hydrocarbons space, Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) has spiked 50% in that time, whereas Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) is up 26%.

Iron ore giant and the world's largest mining company BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) has also lunged 26% higher whereas diversified miner Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) is a 21% gainer this year.

For even more diversified products, the Betashares Australian Resources Sector ETF (ASX: QRE) has flamed another 19% this year whilst the Vaneck Australian Resources ETF (ASX: MVR) is up 18%.

Other diversified miners like South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) have spiked 31% in the new year, while gold-bug Gold Road Resources Ltd (ASX: GOR) has surged 44%. Returns for each over the past few weeks is plotted below.

TradingView Chart

Should you invest $1,000 in Woolworths Group Limited right now?

Before you buy Woolworths Group Limited shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Woolworths Group Limited wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Gainers

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face over these rising Tassal share price
Share Gainers

These were the best-performing ASX 200 shares in April

These shares were in fine form in April. Let's see why they outperformed.

Read more »

Hiker man backpacker with hands up in the summer mountains with cloudy sky.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX made it three from three.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Share Gainers

Why Cedar Woods, Orthocell, PEXA, and St Barbara shares are storming higher today

These shares are having a good session on hump day. But why?

Read more »

Three happy team mates holding the winners trophy.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX 200 continued its good form this Tuesday.

Read more »

Man looking happy and excited as he looks at his mobile phone.
Share Gainers

Why Beach Energy, Boss Energy, Fortescue, and Mineral Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are rising more than most on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

Man smiling on top of rocks with mountains in the background.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors started the week on a strong footing today.

Read more »

Rising share price chart.
Share Gainers

Why DroneShield, Lynas, Novonix, and Orthocell shares are storming higher today

These shares are starting the week with a bang. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Share Gainers

3 ASX shares that would already have more than doubled your money in 2025

An investment in any of these ASX shares on 2 January would have more than doubled your money by now.

Read more »