52-week low: Broker says the REA (ASX:REA) share price has 30% upside

Could REA be a bargain buy?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The REA share price has tumbled to a new 52-week low on Tuesday amid broad market weakness.
  • This could be a buying opportunity for investors.
  • Goldman Sachs' sees 30% upside for the REA share price from current levels.

The REA Group Limited (ASX: REA) share price is falling again with the market on Tuesday.

In morning trade, the property listings company's shares are down 2.5% to a new 52-week low of $124.51.

Is the REA share price weakness a buying opportunity?

While the weakness in the REA share price in 2022 has been disappointing, it could be a buying opportunity for investors.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have a buy rating and $167.00 price target on the company's shares.

Based on the current REA share price, this implies potential upside of 34% for investors over the next 12 months.

Why is the broker positive on REA?

Goldman Sachs was pleased with the company's performance during the first half of FY 2022.

It commented: "REA also delivered strong 1H22 earnings growth which was broadly in-line with our expectations, but was weaker in the core Australia business. With a strong start to 2H (i.e. listings +14% in Jan), and continued pricing/depth residential tailwinds, we expect solid 2H momentum."

And while the broker suspects that investors may have concerns over REA's ability to build on this next year, its analysts continue to forecast earnings growth in FY 2023.

Goldman explained: "We believe investor focus will now be on the outlook into FY23, given slowing price/depth contributions and a very tough listings comparable. We forecast FY23 EBITDA growth of +7%, assuming (1) -5% listings headwinds (-7% adj. for non-repeat of Fed Election) offset by +6% price and +3% depth/new products (such as Audience Max/Connect) (2) Improving trends in Commercial/Developer given strong expected project commencements; (3) Continued growth at Hometrack; (4) Improved MOC earnings; and (5) International momentum, particularly with smaller India losses."

Goldman is forecasting EBITDA of $682 million in FY 2022, then $729 million in FY 2023 and $818 million in FY 2024.

Based on these forecasts, the broker clearly believes the REA share price is good value at the current level.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended REA Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Three people in a corporate office pour over a tablet, ready to invest.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Person with thumbs down and a red sad face poster covering their face.
Broker Notes

6 ASX 200 shares downgraded by the experts this week

Brokers have reduced their ratings on six ASX 200 shares, including PLS Group and Westpac this week.

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Broker Notes

Should you buy Wesfarmers shares amid rising profits and revenues?

A leading analyst offers his outlook for Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Evolution Mining, Netwealth, and Nufarm shares

What is Morgans saying about these popular shares? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Health professional looking at a laptop.
Broker Notes

Is the Telix share price heading to $19? This broker thinks it is

Bell Potter remains bullish on this name. Here's what it is saying.

Read more »

Happy man working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Broker says this ASX 200 stock can deliver a 20% return

Bell Potter is bullish on this fintech stock. Let's see what is saying about this one.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Broker Notes

ASX 200 shares with renewed buy ratings this week

Brokers have signalled ongoing confidence in Zip, ANZ, Coles, and several other ASX 200 shares.

Read more »

Comical investor reading documents and surrounded by calculators.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares newly upgraded this week

As the Iran war and fuel crisis continues, some ASX 200 shares have attracted upgrades from the experts.

Read more »