Is the Goodman Group (ASX:GMG) share price a bargain after tumbling 15% in 2022?

Goodman shares have been dumped by investors lately. Does this represent a buying opportunity?

| More on:
A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the CSL balance sheet and the value of CSL shares today

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Goodman shares dragged down by broader market sell-off in 2022 
  • CPI rose by 1.3% in Q4 2021 and 3.5% for the year 
  • JPMorgan sees an upside to the current Goodman share price 

Investors have continued to drag the Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) share price lower since the beginning of the new year.

The real estate investment trust (REIT) hit an all-time high of $26.96 on 30 December, before sinking 15% in 2022.

At the time of writing, Goodman shares are hovering 0.79% lower to $22.64.

What happened to Goodman shares?

Despite keeping a quiet front for the past couple of months, Goodman shares have backtracked to September 2021 levels.

Listed as the ASX's largest REIT, the property company specialises in the logistics and business space. This includes warehouses, large scale logistics facilities, business and office parks across 5 continents in 14 countries.

A catalyst for the recent downturn could be attributed to investors selling off high-valuation companies during 2022.

The S&P/ASX 200 Real Estate (ASX: XRE) has shed around 10.72% in 2022, impacted by an uptick in inflation.

Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that the consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.3% in Q4 2021. When looking at the last 12 months, this figure rose 3.5%, the fastest annual pace since 2014.

The report highlighted the rising cost of living, which is affecting spending habits along with downward pressure on city rents.

The Reserve Bank of Australia advised it will make at least two rate hikes in 2022. The government body noted that inflation was not yet a problem for Australia compared to levels recorded in the United States.

Is now the time to buy?

Late last month, JPMorgan weighed in on Goodman shares.

The broker raised its 12-month price target by 4.2% to $25 for the REIT. Its analysts believe that there is still more upside in Goodman shares regardless of its mixed performance recently.

Based on the current share price, this implies an upside of about 10.4% for investors.

Goodman share price review

Over the last 12 months, Goodman shares travelled higher until the end of 2021 before tumbling in the new year. Nonetheless, the company's shares are up almost 27% since this time last year.

Based on today's price, Goodman commands a market capitalisation of roughly $42.3 billion, with approximately 1.87 billion shares outstanding.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Teboneras has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on REITs

Group of successful real estate agents standing in building and looking at tablet.
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend stock down 25% to buy right now

I think this income business is a compelling buy right now.

Read more »

a cute jack russell dog closes its eyes and yawns as if waking up from a long sleep underneath a doona cover next to a pair of feet with an old-fashioned alarm clock nearby.
REITs

Get paid like clockwork with this 6% Australian dividend stock

Investors can harvest good cash flow with this stock.

Read more »

a man with hands in pockets and a serious look on his face stares out of an office window onto a landscape of highrise office buildings in an urban landscape
REITs

Is it time to grab these cheap ASX 300 stocks before it's too late?

Here’s why these ASX shares seem very cheap in my view.

Read more »

Group of successful real estate agents standing in building and looking at tablet.
Opinions

Should ASX REITs be on your buy list right now?

Analysts offer their views.

Read more »

An older couple dance in their living room as they enjoy their retirement funded by ASX dividends
REITs

Why I think this could be the #1 ASX property stock for retirement

I believe this stock is offering everything that retirees could want.

Read more »

Boys making faces and flexing.
REITs

These 3 ASX index-beaters are setting new records today (I'd still buy)

I think these stocks still have plenty of growth potential.

Read more »

A business woman flexes her muscles overlooking a city scape below.
REITs

Why ASX property shares could be set for a comeback

The recovery could be strong, too, according to one global investment giant.

Read more »

An Australian farmer wearing a beaten-up akubra hat and work shirt leans on a fence with livestock in the background and a blue sky above.
REITs

Why I'm more bullish than ever on this ASX 300 dividend stock

This is a leading passive income share, in my opinion.

Read more »